Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at $159 billion anchors current pricing amid founders’ repeated statements that an IPO is “a solution in search of a problem,” given self-funding operations and no capital need. First-half 2026 revenue rose 41% year-over-year with free cash flow up 43%, supported by $1.9 trillion in 2025 payment volume and revenue from AI/crypto clients more than doubling. Acquisitions including OpenRouter for over $8 billion and a rejected $53 billion PayPal bid highlight strategic flexibility while remaining private. With no S-1 filed and liquidity via tenders, the dispersed market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over IPO timing beyond 2027 and the multiple the payments platform could command in public markets versus private benchmarks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUS$ 250B–US$ 300B 61%
US$ 500B+ 39%
US$150B-US$200B 34%
<US$150B 33%
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2027
<US$150B
33%
US$150B-US$200B
34%
US$ 200B-US$ 250B
10%
US$ 250B–US$ 300B
61%
US$300B-US$350B
-
US$ 350B–US$ 400B
33%
US$400B-US$450B
28%
US$450B-US$500B
30%
US$ 500B+
39%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
18%
US$ 250B–US$ 300B 61%
US$ 500B+ 39%
US$150B-US$200B 34%
<US$150B 33%
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2027
<US$150B
$50 Vol.
33%
US$150B-US$200B
$69 Vol.
34%
US$ 200B-US$ 250B
$70 Vol.
10%
US$ 250B–US$ 300B
$94 Vol.
61%
US$300B-US$350B
$94 Vol.
-
US$ 350B–US$ 400B
$81 Vol.
33%
US$400B-US$450B
$120 Vol.
28%
US$450B-US$500B
$73 Vol.
30%
US$ 500B+
$47 Vol.
39%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
$76 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at $159 billion anchors current pricing amid founders’ repeated statements that an IPO is “a solution in search of a problem,” given self-funding operations and no capital need. First-half 2026 revenue rose 41% year-over-year with free cash flow up 43%, supported by $1.9 trillion in 2025 payment volume and revenue from AI/crypto clients more than doubling. Acquisitions including OpenRouter for over $8 billion and a rejected $53 billion PayPal bid highlight strategic flexibility while remaining private. With no S-1 filed and liquidity via tenders, the dispersed market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over IPO timing beyond 2027 and the multiple the payments platform could command in public markets versus private benchmarks.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 1, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$774Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at $159 billion anchors current pricing amid founders’ repeated statements that an IPO is “a solution in search of a problem,” given self-funding operations and no capital need. First-half 2026 revenue rose 41% year-over-year with free cash flow up 43%, supported by $1.9 trillion in 2025 payment volume and revenue from AI/crypto clients more than doubling. Acquisitions including OpenRouter for over $8 billion and a rejected $53 billion PayPal bid highlight strategic flexibility while remaining private. With no S-1 filed and liquidity via tenders, the dispersed market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over IPO timing beyond 2027 and the multiple the payments platform could command in public markets versus private benchmarks.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$774Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at $159 billion anchors current pricing amid founders’ repeated statements that an IPO is “a solution in search of a problem,” given self-funding operations and no capital need. First-half 2026 revenue rose 41% year-over-year with free cash flow up 43%, supported by $1.9 trillion in 2025 payment volume and revenue from AI/crypto clients more than doubling. Acquisitions including OpenRouter for over $8 billion and a rejected $53 billion PayPal bid highlight strategic flexibility while remaining private. With no S-1 filed and liquidity via tenders, the dispersed market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over IPO timing beyond 2027 and the multiple the payments platform could command in public markets versus private benchmarks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions