Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including its June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent shift to a late-September prospectus with mid-October marketing, have driven the 96.4% market-implied probability it will list before OpenAI. The Claude developer is targeting a potential $2 trillion valuation and a Nasdaq debut before November midterms, supported by major banks and a $15 billion credit facility. In contrast, OpenAI's June filing has not translated into an active timeline, with its CFO signaling a likely 2027 debut tied to $1 trillion valuation goals amid market caution after other large tech floats. While this consensus reflects verified progress, last-minute regulatory reviews, valuation resets, or unexpected shifts in OpenAI's strategy could still alter the outcome before year-end resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAnthropic
96% chance
$338,517 Vol.
$338,517 Vol.
30 dez 2027
Anthropic
96% chance
$338,517 Vol.
$338,517 Vol.
30 dez 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including its June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent shift to a late-September prospectus with mid-October marketing, have driven the 96.4% market-implied probability it will list before OpenAI. The Claude developer is targeting a potential $2 trillion valuation and a Nasdaq debut before November midterms, supported by major banks and a $15 billion credit facility. In contrast, OpenAI's June filing has not translated into an active timeline, with its CFO signaling a likely 2027 debut tied to $1 trillion valuation goals amid market caution after other large tech floats. While this consensus reflects verified progress, last-minute regulatory reviews, valuation resets, or unexpected shifts in OpenAI's strategy could still alter the outcome before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$338,517Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including its June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent shift to a late-September prospectus with mid-October marketing, have driven the 96.4% market-implied probability it will list before OpenAI. The Claude developer is targeting a potential $2 trillion valuation and a Nasdaq debut before November midterms, supported by major banks and a $15 billion credit facility. In contrast, OpenAI's June filing has not translated into an active timeline, with its CFO signaling a likely 2027 debut tied to $1 trillion valuation goals amid market caution after other large tech floats. While this consensus reflects verified progress, last-minute regulatory reviews, valuation resets, or unexpected shifts in OpenAI's strategy could still alter the outcome before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$338,517Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including its June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent shift to a late-September prospectus with mid-October marketing, have driven the 96.4% market-implied probability it will list before OpenAI. The Claude developer is targeting a potential $2 trillion valuation and a Nasdaq debut before November midterms, supported by major banks and a $15 billion credit facility. In contrast, OpenAI's June filing has not translated into an active timeline, with its CFO signaling a likely 2027 debut tied to $1 trillion valuation goals amid market caution after other large tech floats. While this consensus reflects verified progress, last-minute regulatory reviews, valuation resets, or unexpected shifts in OpenAI's strategy could still alter the outcome before year-end resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
A oferta pública inicial da Anthropic ocorrerá em outubro de 2026 (ET)?
59%
Sim
Anthropic ou OpenAI: qual terá o maior valor de mercado no fechamento do IPO?
68%
Anthropic
O valor de mercado da Anthropic será de US$600 bilhões ou mais no fechamento do mercado no dia do IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027?
96%
Sim
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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