Holtec Nuclear’s recent September 8, 2026, IPO filing and roadshow launch set the primary catalyst, with 50 million Class A shares priced at $15–$18 targeting a fully diluted market capitalization of $8.5 billion to $10.2 billion at the top end (midpoint near $9.35 billion). This range aligns closely with Polymarket’s clustered probabilities around sub-$9 billion and $9–11 billion outcomes. Trader sentiment reflects the tension between established nuclear services revenue of roughly $560 million TTM, Palisades restart momentum, and SMR-300 development—bolstered by DOE support and AI-driven power demand—versus the demanding multiple on current earnings, dual-class governance limiting public voting rights to about 1%, and execution risks ahead of expected pricing the week of September 14. The near-even odds capture uncertainty over final share allocation and post-listing trading levels.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUS$ 9B-US$ 10B 43%
US$10B-US$11B 41%
<US$9B 27%
US$ 11B-US$ 12B 26%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
<US$9B
27%
US$ 9B-US$ 10B
43%
US$10B-US$11B
41%
US$ 11B-US$ 12B
26%
US$ 12B-US$ 13B
24%
US$ 13B-US$ 14B
21%
US$ 14B+
11%
Sem IPO antes de novembro de 2026
21%
US$ 9B-US$ 10B 43%
US$10B-US$11B 41%
<US$9B 27%
US$ 11B-US$ 12B 26%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
<US$9B
$0 Vol.
27%
US$ 9B-US$ 10B
$0 Vol.
43%
US$10B-US$11B
$0 Vol.
41%
US$ 11B-US$ 12B
$0 Vol.
26%
US$ 12B-US$ 13B
$0 Vol.
24%
US$ 13B-US$ 14B
$170 Vol.
21%
US$ 14B+
$355 Vol.
11%
Sem IPO antes de novembro de 2026
$131 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve based on Holtec Nuclear's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on September 17 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before November 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Holtec Nuclear’s recent September 8, 2026, IPO filing and roadshow launch set the primary catalyst, with 50 million Class A shares priced at $15–$18 targeting a fully diluted market capitalization of $8.5 billion to $10.2 billion at the top end (midpoint near $9.35 billion). This range aligns closely with Polymarket’s clustered probabilities around sub-$9 billion and $9–11 billion outcomes. Trader sentiment reflects the tension between established nuclear services revenue of roughly $560 million TTM, Palisades restart momentum, and SMR-300 development—bolstered by DOE support and AI-driven power demand—versus the demanding multiple on current earnings, dual-class governance limiting public voting rights to about 1%, and execution risks ahead of expected pricing the week of September 14. The near-even odds capture uncertainty over final share allocation and post-listing trading levels.
This market will resolve based on Holtec Nuclear's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on September 17 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before November 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on September 17 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before November 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
Volume
$656Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Holtec Nuclear's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on September 17 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before November 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Holtec Nuclear’s recent September 8, 2026, IPO filing and roadshow launch set the primary catalyst, with 50 million Class A shares priced at $15–$18 targeting a fully diluted market capitalization of $8.5 billion to $10.2 billion at the top end (midpoint near $9.35 billion). This range aligns closely with Polymarket’s clustered probabilities around sub-$9 billion and $9–11 billion outcomes. Trader sentiment reflects the tension between established nuclear services revenue of roughly $560 million TTM, Palisades restart momentum, and SMR-300 development—bolstered by DOE support and AI-driven power demand—versus the demanding multiple on current earnings, dual-class governance limiting public voting rights to about 1%, and execution risks ahead of expected pricing the week of September 14. The near-even odds capture uncertainty over final share allocation and post-listing trading levels.
This market will resolve based on Holtec Nuclear's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on September 17 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before November 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on September 17 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before November 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$656Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Holtec Nuclear’s recent September 8, 2026, IPO filing and roadshow launch set the primary catalyst, with 50 million Class A shares priced at $15–$18 targeting a fully diluted market capitalization of $8.5 billion to $10.2 billion at the top end (midpoint near $9.35 billion). This range aligns closely with Polymarket’s clustered probabilities around sub-$9 billion and $9–11 billion outcomes. Trader sentiment reflects the tension between established nuclear services revenue of roughly $560 million TTM, Palisades restart momentum, and SMR-300 development—bolstered by DOE support and AI-driven power demand—versus the demanding multiple on current earnings, dual-class governance limiting public voting rights to about 1%, and execution risks ahead of expected pricing the week of September 14. The near-even odds capture uncertainty over final share allocation and post-listing trading levels.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions