Discord’s confidential SEC filing in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has not progressed to a public S-1 or listing, elevating the 54.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027. Secondary-market valuations have compressed to roughly $8.5 billion as of mid-2026 on Forge Global, down sharply from the $15 billion 2021 peak and consistent with the leading 8–11 billion closing market-cap outcome at 12.3%. Revenue estimates near $750–950 million, driven primarily by Nitro subscriptions amid modest ARPU, support tempered multiples for consumer platforms versus higher-growth peers. Broader IPO-market caution, including delays at comparable tech issuers, and ongoing SEC review timelines reinforce trader consensus around execution and valuation uncertainty into 2027.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoValor de mercado de fechamento do IPO do Discord
Valor de mercado de fechamento do IPO do Discord
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 54.6%
8–11B 11.9%
11–14B 11.8%
20B+ 5.1%
$101,101 Vol.
$101,101 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<5B
2%
5–8B
2%
8–11B
12%
11–14B
12%
14–17B
5%
17–20B
3%
20B+
5%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
55%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 54.6%
8–11B 11.9%
11–14B 11.8%
20B+ 5.1%
$101,101 Vol.
$101,101 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<5B
$16,602 Vol.
2%
5–8B
$5,301 Vol.
2%
8–11B
$14,760 Vol.
12%
11–14B
$13,995 Vol.
12%
14–17B
$3,332 Vol.
5%
17–20B
$5,738 Vol.
3%
20B+
$5,459 Vol.
5%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
$35,915 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential SEC filing in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has not progressed to a public S-1 or listing, elevating the 54.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027. Secondary-market valuations have compressed to roughly $8.5 billion as of mid-2026 on Forge Global, down sharply from the $15 billion 2021 peak and consistent with the leading 8–11 billion closing market-cap outcome at 12.3%. Revenue estimates near $750–950 million, driven primarily by Nitro subscriptions amid modest ARPU, support tempered multiples for consumer platforms versus higher-growth peers. Broader IPO-market caution, including delays at comparable tech issuers, and ongoing SEC review timelines reinforce trader consensus around execution and valuation uncertainty into 2027.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$101,101Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential SEC filing in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has not progressed to a public S-1 or listing, elevating the 54.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027. Secondary-market valuations have compressed to roughly $8.5 billion as of mid-2026 on Forge Global, down sharply from the $15 billion 2021 peak and consistent with the leading 8–11 billion closing market-cap outcome at 12.3%. Revenue estimates near $750–950 million, driven primarily by Nitro subscriptions amid modest ARPU, support tempered multiples for consumer platforms versus higher-growth peers. Broader IPO-market caution, including delays at comparable tech issuers, and ongoing SEC review timelines reinforce trader consensus around execution and valuation uncertainty into 2027.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$101,101Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Discord’s confidential SEC filing in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has not progressed to a public S-1 or listing, elevating the 54.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027. Secondary-market valuations have compressed to roughly $8.5 billion as of mid-2026 on Forge Global, down sharply from the $15 billion 2021 peak and consistent with the leading 8–11 billion closing market-cap outcome at 12.3%. Revenue estimates near $750–950 million, driven primarily by Nitro subscriptions amid modest ARPU, support tempered multiples for consumer platforms versus higher-growth peers. Broader IPO-market caution, including delays at comparable tech issuers, and ongoing SEC review timelines reinforce trader consensus around execution and valuation uncertainty into 2027.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions