**Explosive revenue growth from Anthropic’s Claude large language models, particularly its agentic coding capabilities, underpins the 86% market-implied odds for a 1.8T+ closing market cap.** The company’s annualized run rate surged from roughly $9B at the end of 2025 to $47B in May 2026 and $65B by July, driving a May Series H valuation of $965B and fueling banker and investor discussions of a $2T+ IPO target. Recent timeline adjustments—public prospectus now expected late September with marketing starting mid-October—have not dented sentiment, as secondary trading marks already exceed $1.3T and the filing remains on track for a 2026 listing ahead of U.S. midterms. Traders view the combination of demonstrated AI demand, competitive positioning versus OpenAI, and precedent from SpaceX’s $1.77T debut as supporting a premium valuation once shares begin trading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado1.8T+ 86%
1.5–1.8T 8.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.3%
1.2–1.5T 1.8%
$408,934 Vol.
$408,934 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
<1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
2%
1.5–1.8T
8%
1.8T+
86%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
1.8T+ 86%
1.5–1.8T 8.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.3%
1.2–1.5T 1.8%
$408,934 Vol.
$408,934 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<0.6T
$20,779 Vol.
1%
0.6–0.9T
$26,340 Vol.
<1%
0.9–1.2T
$26,643 Vol.
1%
1.2–1.5T
$34,316 Vol.
2%
1.5–1.8T
$47,915 Vol.
8%
1.8T+
$200,628 Vol.
86%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$52,313 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Explosive revenue growth from Anthropic’s Claude large language models, particularly its agentic coding capabilities, underpins the 86% market-implied odds for a 1.8T+ closing market cap.** The company’s annualized run rate surged from roughly $9B at the end of 2025 to $47B in May 2026 and $65B by July, driving a May Series H valuation of $965B and fueling banker and investor discussions of a $2T+ IPO target. Recent timeline adjustments—public prospectus now expected late September with marketing starting mid-October—have not dented sentiment, as secondary trading marks already exceed $1.3T and the filing remains on track for a 2026 listing ahead of U.S. midterms. Traders view the combination of demonstrated AI demand, competitive positioning versus OpenAI, and precedent from SpaceX’s $1.77T debut as supporting a premium valuation once shares begin trading.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$408,934Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Explosive revenue growth from Anthropic’s Claude large language models, particularly its agentic coding capabilities, underpins the 86% market-implied odds for a 1.8T+ closing market cap.** The company’s annualized run rate surged from roughly $9B at the end of 2025 to $47B in May 2026 and $65B by July, driving a May Series H valuation of $965B and fueling banker and investor discussions of a $2T+ IPO target. Recent timeline adjustments—public prospectus now expected late September with marketing starting mid-October—have not dented sentiment, as secondary trading marks already exceed $1.3T and the filing remains on track for a 2026 listing ahead of U.S. midterms. Traders view the combination of demonstrated AI demand, competitive positioning versus OpenAI, and precedent from SpaceX’s $1.77T debut as supporting a premium valuation once shares begin trading.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$408,934Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Explosive revenue growth from Anthropic’s Claude large language models, particularly its agentic coding capabilities, underpins the 86% market-implied odds for a 1.8T+ closing market cap.** The company’s annualized run rate surged from roughly $9B at the end of 2025 to $47B in May 2026 and $65B by July, driving a May Series H valuation of $965B and fueling banker and investor discussions of a $2T+ IPO target. Recent timeline adjustments—public prospectus now expected late September with marketing starting mid-October—have not dented sentiment, as secondary trading marks already exceed $1.3T and the filing remains on track for a 2026 listing ahead of U.S. midterms. Traders view the combination of demonstrated AI demand, competitive positioning versus OpenAI, and precedent from SpaceX’s $1.77T debut as supporting a premium valuation once shares begin trading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
O valor de mercado da Anthropic será de US$600 bilhões ou mais no fechamento do mercado no dia do IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027?
96%
Sim
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
22%
Oferta Pública Inicial da Anthropic fecha com valor de mercado acima de US$ 1,5 trilhão?
95%
Sim
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions