Strava's most recent $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 funding round, paired with estimated annual recurring revenue near $490 million, forms the core benchmark for trader views on its eventual IPO closing market cap. The confidential S-1 filed in February 2026 and missed spring timeline have introduced uncertainty, yet the leading 4B–5B outcome reflects expectations for revenue growth and subscription conversion from its large user base in a recovering consumer-health IPO environment. Key differentiators include execution on monetization, board additions signaling readiness, and broader market multiples for similar fitness platforms, while timing risks or weaker-than-expected metrics could shift support toward lower ranges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCapitalização de mercado de fechamento de IPO do Strava
Capitalização de mercado de fechamento de IPO do Strava
2B–3B 20%
15B+ 14.0%
7B–10B 6.2%
10B–15B 5.3%
$91,037 Vol.
$91,037 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<2B
2%
2B–3B
20%
3B–4B
3%
4B–5B
39%
5B–7B
<1%
7B–10B
6%
10B–15B
5%
15B+
12%
No IPO before 2028
1%
2B–3B 20%
15B+ 14.0%
7B–10B 6.2%
10B–15B 5.3%
$91,037 Vol.
$91,037 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<2B
$977 Vol.
2%
2B–3B
$54,549 Vol.
20%
3B–4B
$27,813 Vol.
3%
4B–5B
$1,422 Vol.
39%
5B–7B
$1,044 Vol.
<1%
7B–10B
$1,225 Vol.
6%
10B–15B
$1,776 Vol.
5%
15B+
$1,464 Vol.
12%
No IPO before 2028
$767 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava's most recent $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 funding round, paired with estimated annual recurring revenue near $490 million, forms the core benchmark for trader views on its eventual IPO closing market cap. The confidential S-1 filed in February 2026 and missed spring timeline have introduced uncertainty, yet the leading 4B–5B outcome reflects expectations for revenue growth and subscription conversion from its large user base in a recovering consumer-health IPO environment. Key differentiators include execution on monetization, board additions signaling readiness, and broader market multiples for similar fitness platforms, while timing risks or weaker-than-expected metrics could shift support toward lower ranges.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volume
$91,037Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava's most recent $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 funding round, paired with estimated annual recurring revenue near $490 million, forms the core benchmark for trader views on its eventual IPO closing market cap. The confidential S-1 filed in February 2026 and missed spring timeline have introduced uncertainty, yet the leading 4B–5B outcome reflects expectations for revenue growth and subscription conversion from its large user base in a recovering consumer-health IPO environment. Key differentiators include execution on monetization, board additions signaling readiness, and broader market multiples for similar fitness platforms, while timing risks or weaker-than-expected metrics could shift support toward lower ranges.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$91,037Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strava's most recent $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 funding round, paired with estimated annual recurring revenue near $490 million, forms the core benchmark for trader views on its eventual IPO closing market cap. The confidential S-1 filed in February 2026 and missed spring timeline have introduced uncertainty, yet the leading 4B–5B outcome reflects expectations for revenue growth and subscription conversion from its large user base in a recovering consumer-health IPO environment. Key differentiators include execution on monetization, board additions signaling readiness, and broader market multiples for similar fitness platforms, while timing risks or weaker-than-expected metrics could shift support toward lower ranges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions