Recent September 2026 polls from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas show Benedita da Silva (PT) leading the field for one of Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats with 15–30% support, reflecting her visibility as a Lula ally and established name. The race for first place remains fragmented, however, with Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) and a cluster of PL, PSD, and other candidates clustered within margins of error amid 25–37% undecided or blank responses. Voter ability to select two names, ongoing coalition negotiations, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner beyond Benedita sustain tight implied probabilities for challengers. Late-campaign events such as debates or turnout shifts among evangelical and left-leaning blocs could widen gaps before the October 4 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBenedita da Silva 59%
Marcelo Crivella 23.0%
Carlos Jordy 15%
Carlos Portinho 3.3%
$46,885 Vol.
$46,885 Vol.
4 out 2026
Benedita da Silva
59%
Marcelo Crivella
23%
Carlos Jordy
15%
Carlos Portinho
3%
Pedro Paulo
3%
Ó Clemente
<1%
André Monteiro
<1%
Helio Secco
<1%
Luciano Mattos
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
<1%
Marcos Dias
<1%
Michelly Xavier
<1%
Monica Benicio
<1%
Paula Falcão
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
<1%
Waguinho
<1%
Benedita da Silva 59%
Marcelo Crivella 23.0%
Carlos Jordy 15%
Carlos Portinho 3.3%
$46,885 Vol.
$46,885 Vol.
4 out 2026
Benedita da Silva
$17,438 Vol.
59%
Marcelo Crivella
$4,886 Vol.
23%
Carlos Jordy
$10,168 Vol.
15%
Carlos Portinho
$3,286 Vol.
3%
Pedro Paulo
$2,432 Vol.
3%
Ó Clemente
$1,630 Vol.
<1%
André Monteiro
$816 Vol.
<1%
Helio Secco
$490 Vol.
<1%
Luciano Mattos
$375 Vol.
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
$763 Vol.
<1%
Marcos Dias
$887 Vol.
<1%
Michelly Xavier
$671 Vol.
<1%
Monica Benicio
$843 Vol.
<1%
Paula Falcão
$845 Vol.
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
$649 Vol.
<1%
Waguinho
$707 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent September 2026 polls from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas show Benedita da Silva (PT) leading the field for one of Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats with 15–30% support, reflecting her visibility as a Lula ally and established name. The race for first place remains fragmented, however, with Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) and a cluster of PL, PSD, and other candidates clustered within margins of error amid 25–37% undecided or blank responses. Voter ability to select two names, ongoing coalition negotiations, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner beyond Benedita sustain tight implied probabilities for challengers. Late-campaign events such as debates or turnout shifts among evangelical and left-leaning blocs could widen gaps before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Volume
$46,885Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent September 2026 polls from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas show Benedita da Silva (PT) leading the field for one of Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats with 15–30% support, reflecting her visibility as a Lula ally and established name. The race for first place remains fragmented, however, with Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) and a cluster of PL, PSD, and other candidates clustered within margins of error amid 25–37% undecided or blank responses. Voter ability to select two names, ongoing coalition negotiations, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner beyond Benedita sustain tight implied probabilities for challengers. Late-campaign events such as debates or turnout shifts among evangelical and left-leaning blocs could widen gaps before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$46,885Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent September 2026 polls from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas show Benedita da Silva (PT) leading the field for one of Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats with 15–30% support, reflecting her visibility as a Lula ally and established name. The race for first place remains fragmented, however, with Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) and a cluster of PL, PSD, and other candidates clustered within margins of error amid 25–37% undecided or blank responses. Voter ability to select two names, ongoing coalition negotiations, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner beyond Benedita sustain tight implied probabilities for challengers. Late-campaign events such as debates or turnout shifts among evangelical and left-leaning blocs could widen gaps before the October 4 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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