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icon for Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?
Mundo·Israel

Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?

icon for Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?
Mundo·Israel

Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?

$3,497,691 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$3,497,691 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de dezembro de 2026

$533,259 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Indonesia maintains its longstanding policy of conditioning formal diplomatic relations with Israel on recognition of an independent Palestinian state and progress toward a two-state solution, a stance reiterated by President Prabowo Subianto in UN addresses and reinforced by recent joint statements. In early September 2026, Indonesia joined Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and others in commending Western restrictions on trade with Israeli settlements while calling for accountability on occupation-related policies. Quiet bilateral trade, tourism, and commercial activity persist without official ties, yet domestic public opinion and regional alignments continue to constrain open normalization. Trader consensus on prediction markets reflects these barriers, pricing a low probability of announcement by year-end absent major shifts in the Israeli-Palestinian track or Indonesian domestic priorities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,497,691
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Indonesia maintains its longstanding policy of conditioning formal diplomatic relations with Israel on recognition of an independent Palestinian state and progress toward a two-state solution, a stance reiterated by President Prabowo Subianto in UN addresses and reinforced by recent joint statements. In early September 2026, Indonesia joined Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and others in commending Western restrictions on trade with Israeli settlements while calling for accountability on occupation-related policies. Quiet bilateral trade, tourism, and commercial activity persist without official ties, yet domestic public opinion and regional alignments continue to constrain open normalization. Trader consensus on prediction markets reflects these barriers, pricing a low probability of announcement by year-end absent major shifts in the Israeli-Palestinian track or Indonesian domestic priorities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,497,691
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 7%, followed by "30 de junho de 2026" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?" has generated $3.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?" is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at just 7%, with "30 de junho de 2026" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.