Recent polling after final candidate list submissions in early September shows Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party consistently projected at 22–25 Knesset seats, anchoring trader consensus on the 22–23 bracket as the most probable range. The fragmented field, with separate runs by Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s Together alliance and smaller lists such as Amcha Yisrael hovering near the threshold, limits seat consolidation for any single contender. Bloc arithmetic, turnout differentials, and minor-party performance below the electoral threshold remain key variables that could shift allocations in either direction ahead of the October 27 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição de Israel: Yashar # de assentos?
Eleição de Israel: Yashar # de assentos?
22-23 30%
30+ 16%
24-25 16%
26-27 12%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<20
11%
20-21
7%
22-23
30%
24-25
16%
26-27
12%
28-29
10%
30+
16%
22-23 30%
30+ 16%
24-25 16%
26-27 12%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<20
$155 Vol.
11%
20-21
$331 Vol.
7%
22-23
$632 Vol.
30%
24-25
$250 Vol.
16%
26-27
$215 Vol.
12%
28-29
$191 Vol.
10%
30+
$4,369 Vol.
16%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling after final candidate list submissions in early September shows Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party consistently projected at 22–25 Knesset seats, anchoring trader consensus on the 22–23 bracket as the most probable range. The fragmented field, with separate runs by Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s Together alliance and smaller lists such as Amcha Yisrael hovering near the threshold, limits seat consolidation for any single contender. Bloc arithmetic, turnout differentials, and minor-party performance below the electoral threshold remain key variables that could shift allocations in either direction ahead of the October 27 vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volume
$6,143Data de Término
30 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling after final candidate list submissions in early September shows Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party consistently projected at 22–25 Knesset seats, anchoring trader consensus on the 22–23 bracket as the most probable range. The fragmented field, with separate runs by Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s Together alliance and smaller lists such as Amcha Yisrael hovering near the threshold, limits seat consolidation for any single contender. Bloc arithmetic, turnout differentials, and minor-party performance below the electoral threshold remain key variables that could shift allocations in either direction ahead of the October 27 vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$6,143Data de Término
30 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling after final candidate list submissions in early September shows Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party consistently projected at 22–25 Knesset seats, anchoring trader consensus on the 22–23 bracket as the most probable range. The fragmented field, with separate runs by Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s Together alliance and smaller lists such as Amcha Yisrael hovering near the threshold, limits seat consolidation for any single contender. Bloc arithmetic, turnout differentials, and minor-party performance below the electoral threshold remain key variables that could shift allocations in either direction ahead of the October 27 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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