**Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has risen steadily in recent Israeli polling to become the largest or near-largest party ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset election.** Mid-September surveys from outlets including Channel 12, Channel 13, Maariv, and others project Yashar at 22–25 seats out of 120, placing its implied national vote share near 18–21 percent and ahead of or level with Likud. This positioning stems from sustained voter shifts away from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition amid ongoing security and governance concerns, with Yashar benefiting as a fresh centrist alternative that has overtaken other opposition lists. Traders price the 18–20 percent and 20–22 percent bins highest, reflecting polling averages that show limited recent movement outside those ranges while noting the fragmented bloc math and potential for late campaign shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado20-22% 23%
24%+ 15%
22-24% 4.0%
16-18% 3.8%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<16%
42%
16-18%
19%
18-20%
42%
20-22%
16%
22-24%
4%
24%+
15%
20-22% 23%
24%+ 15%
22-24% 4.0%
16-18% 3.8%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<16%
$51 Vol.
42%
16-18%
$90 Vol.
19%
18-20%
$224 Vol.
42%
20-22%
$104 Vol.
16%
22-24%
$104 Vol.
4%
24%+
$136 Vol.
15%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has risen steadily in recent Israeli polling to become the largest or near-largest party ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset election.** Mid-September surveys from outlets including Channel 12, Channel 13, Maariv, and others project Yashar at 22–25 seats out of 120, placing its implied national vote share near 18–21 percent and ahead of or level with Likud. This positioning stems from sustained voter shifts away from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition amid ongoing security and governance concerns, with Yashar benefiting as a fresh centrist alternative that has overtaken other opposition lists. Traders price the 18–20 percent and 20–22 percent bins highest, reflecting polling averages that show limited recent movement outside those ranges while noting the fragmented bloc math and potential for late campaign shifts.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Volume
$710Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has risen steadily in recent Israeli polling to become the largest or near-largest party ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset election.** Mid-September surveys from outlets including Channel 12, Channel 13, Maariv, and others project Yashar at 22–25 seats out of 120, placing its implied national vote share near 18–21 percent and ahead of or level with Likud. This positioning stems from sustained voter shifts away from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition amid ongoing security and governance concerns, with Yashar benefiting as a fresh centrist alternative that has overtaken other opposition lists. Traders price the 18–20 percent and 20–22 percent bins highest, reflecting polling averages that show limited recent movement outside those ranges while noting the fragmented bloc math and potential for late campaign shifts.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$710Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has risen steadily in recent Israeli polling to become the largest or near-largest party ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset election.** Mid-September surveys from outlets including Channel 12, Channel 13, Maariv, and others project Yashar at 22–25 seats out of 120, placing its implied national vote share near 18–21 percent and ahead of or level with Likud. This positioning stems from sustained voter shifts away from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition amid ongoing security and governance concerns, with Yashar benefiting as a fresh centrist alternative that has overtaken other opposition lists. Traders price the 18–20 percent and 20–22 percent bins highest, reflecting polling averages that show limited recent movement outside those ranges while noting the fragmented bloc math and potential for late campaign shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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