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icon for Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?
Política·Médio Oriente

Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

icon for Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?
Política·Médio Oriente

Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

jan 1, 2027

jan 1, 2027

$1,631,341 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$1,631,341 Vol.

Polymarket

Líbano

$76,777 Vol.

9%

Somalilândia

$116,845 Vol.

8%

Síria

$164,512 Vol.

7%

Azerbaijão

$175,475 Vol.

7%

Arábia Saudita

$328,914 Vol.

7%

Jordan

$9,774 Vol.

6%

Egypt

$7,393 Vol.

6%

Kuwait

$64,151 Vol.

6%

Qatar

$8,773 Vol.

5%

Omã

$181,915 Vol.

5%

Pakistan

$9,051 Vol.

3%

Turkey

$487,763 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Saudi Arabia remains the leading candidate for potential accession due to sustained U.S. pressure, including President Trump’s July 2026 statements conditioning a civil nuclear agreement on normalization with Israel. However, Riyadh continues to tie any deal to credible progress on Palestinian statehood, a stance unchanged despite regional shifts. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession marked the most recent expansion, while talks involving Syria, Lebanon, Qatar, and others have not produced formal commitments. Ongoing conflicts, including post-ceasefire dynamics with Iran, have hardened Arab public opinion and complicated timelines. With fewer than four months until 2027, trader assessments center on the narrow window for bilateral agreements, Senate confirmation patterns for related U.S. policy, and whether scheduled diplomatic summits or Israeli political developments can overcome longstanding preconditions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,631,341
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Saudi Arabia remains the leading candidate for potential accession due to sustained U.S. pressure, including President Trump’s July 2026 statements conditioning a civil nuclear agreement on normalization with Israel. However, Riyadh continues to tie any deal to credible progress on Palestinian statehood, a stance unchanged despite regional shifts. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession marked the most recent expansion, while talks involving Syria, Lebanon, Qatar, and others have not produced formal commitments. Ongoing conflicts, including post-ceasefire dynamics with Iran, have hardened Arab public opinion and complicated timelines. With fewer than four months until 2027, trader assessments center on the narrow window for bilateral agreements, Senate confirmation patterns for related U.S. policy, and whether scheduled diplomatic summits or Israeli political developments can overcome longstanding preconditions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,631,341
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Líbano" at 9%, followed by "Somalilândia" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" is "Líbano" at just 9%, with "Somalilândia" close behind at 8%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.