Recent polling following the early September merger between the Religious Zionist Party and Zehut shows the alliance projected to win 5–8 Knesset seats, placing its expected vote share near 4–7 percent and centering trader attention on the 5–6 percent and adjacent bands. The joint list, headed by Bezalel Smotrich with Moshe Feiglin in second place and submitted on September 9, consolidated support that had previously left the Religious Zionist Party near or below the 3.25 percent threshold amid competition from Ofer Winter’s new party and other right-wing factions. Fragmentation within the broader right-wing bloc, combined with high undecided shares and turnout uncertainty ahead of the October 27 election, sustains the narrow spread between the leading intervals while limiting clearer separation until final campaign dynamics and last-minute shifts become evident.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado5-6% 35%
4-5% 33%
3,25-4% 29%
<3,25% 12%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<3,25%
12%
3,25-4%
29%
4-5%
33%
5-6%
35%
6%+
12%
5-6% 35%
4-5% 33%
3,25-4% 29%
<3,25% 12%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<3,25%
$243 Vol.
12%
3,25-4%
$0 Vol.
29%
4-5%
$0 Vol.
33%
5-6%
$0 Vol.
35%
6%+
$50 Vol.
12%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling following the early September merger between the Religious Zionist Party and Zehut shows the alliance projected to win 5–8 Knesset seats, placing its expected vote share near 4–7 percent and centering trader attention on the 5–6 percent and adjacent bands. The joint list, headed by Bezalel Smotrich with Moshe Feiglin in second place and submitted on September 9, consolidated support that had previously left the Religious Zionist Party near or below the 3.25 percent threshold amid competition from Ofer Winter’s new party and other right-wing factions. Fragmentation within the broader right-wing bloc, combined with high undecided shares and turnout uncertainty ahead of the October 27 election, sustains the narrow spread between the leading intervals while limiting clearer separation until final campaign dynamics and last-minute shifts become evident.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 2:39 PM ET
Volume
$293Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 2:39 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling following the early September merger between the Religious Zionist Party and Zehut shows the alliance projected to win 5–8 Knesset seats, placing its expected vote share near 4–7 percent and centering trader attention on the 5–6 percent and adjacent bands. The joint list, headed by Bezalel Smotrich with Moshe Feiglin in second place and submitted on September 9, consolidated support that had previously left the Religious Zionist Party near or below the 3.25 percent threshold amid competition from Ofer Winter’s new party and other right-wing factions. Fragmentation within the broader right-wing bloc, combined with high undecided shares and turnout uncertainty ahead of the October 27 election, sustains the narrow spread between the leading intervals while limiting clearer separation until final campaign dynamics and last-minute shifts become evident.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$293Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 2:39 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling following the early September merger between the Religious Zionist Party and Zehut shows the alliance projected to win 5–8 Knesset seats, placing its expected vote share near 4–7 percent and centering trader attention on the 5–6 percent and adjacent bands. The joint list, headed by Bezalel Smotrich with Moshe Feiglin in second place and submitted on September 9, consolidated support that had previously left the Religious Zionist Party near or below the 3.25 percent threshold amid competition from Ofer Winter’s new party and other right-wing factions. Fragmentation within the broader right-wing bloc, combined with high undecided shares and turnout uncertainty ahead of the October 27 election, sustains the narrow spread between the leading intervals while limiting clearer separation until final campaign dynamics and last-minute shifts become evident.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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