Recent polls conducted after parties finalized candidate slates on September 8 show Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, receiving between 0.2% and 1.3% of the vote, well below the 3.25% Knesset threshold, amid defections of lawmakers to larger opposition lists such as Yashar and B’Yachad. With the October 27 election less than seven weeks away and the centrist party struggling to differentiate itself in a fragmented anti-Netanyahu bloc, trader probabilities cluster tightly around sub-1.25% outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over final turnout among remaining supporters and any last-minute shifts in undecided voters. Developments that could widen the range include further mergers, stronger campaign visibility, or changes in bloc dynamics that consolidate or dilute its base before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado<0,75% 40%
0,75-1,25% 30%
3,25%+ 20%
1,25-2% 17%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<0,75%
40%
0,75-1,25%
30%
1,25-2%
17%
2-3,25%
16%
3,25%+
20%
<0,75% 40%
0,75-1,25% 30%
3,25%+ 20%
1,25-2% 17%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<0,75%
$34 Vol.
40%
0,75-1,25%
$33 Vol.
30%
1,25-2%
$15 Vol.
17%
2-3,25%
$15 Vol.
16%
3,25%+
$170 Vol.
20%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls conducted after parties finalized candidate slates on September 8 show Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, receiving between 0.2% and 1.3% of the vote, well below the 3.25% Knesset threshold, amid defections of lawmakers to larger opposition lists such as Yashar and B’Yachad. With the October 27 election less than seven weeks away and the centrist party struggling to differentiate itself in a fragmented anti-Netanyahu bloc, trader probabilities cluster tightly around sub-1.25% outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over final turnout among remaining supporters and any last-minute shifts in undecided voters. Developments that could widen the range include further mergers, stronger campaign visibility, or changes in bloc dynamics that consolidate or dilute its base before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volume
$267Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls conducted after parties finalized candidate slates on September 8 show Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, receiving between 0.2% and 1.3% of the vote, well below the 3.25% Knesset threshold, amid defections of lawmakers to larger opposition lists such as Yashar and B’Yachad. With the October 27 election less than seven weeks away and the centrist party struggling to differentiate itself in a fragmented anti-Netanyahu bloc, trader probabilities cluster tightly around sub-1.25% outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over final turnout among remaining supporters and any last-minute shifts in undecided voters. Developments that could widen the range include further mergers, stronger campaign visibility, or changes in bloc dynamics that consolidate or dilute its base before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$267Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls conducted after parties finalized candidate slates on September 8 show Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, receiving between 0.2% and 1.3% of the vote, well below the 3.25% Knesset threshold, amid defections of lawmakers to larger opposition lists such as Yashar and B’Yachad. With the October 27 election less than seven weeks away and the centrist party struggling to differentiate itself in a fragmented anti-Netanyahu bloc, trader probabilities cluster tightly around sub-1.25% outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over final turnout among remaining supporters and any last-minute shifts in undecided voters. Developments that could widen the range include further mergers, stronger campaign visibility, or changes in bloc dynamics that consolidate or dilute its base before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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