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icon for Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?
Geopolítica·Síria

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?

icon for Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?
Geopolítica·Síria

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?

jan 1, 2027

jan 1, 2027

$770,307 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$770,307 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Líbano

Líbano

$114,702 Vol.

9%

icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$358,541 Vol.

9%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$12,518 Vol.

7%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$16,910 Vol.

7%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$13,477 Vol.

6%

icon for Síria

Síria

$21,430 Vol.

5%

icon for Paquistão

Paquistão

$9,839 Vol.

5%

icon for Indonésia

Indonésia

$19,982 Vol.

5%

icon for Coreia do Norte

Coreia do Norte

$20,306 Vol.

4%

icon for Catar

Catar

$36,705 Vol.

4%

icon for Irã

Irã

$16,688 Vol.

4%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$11,994 Vol.

4%

icon for Bangladesh

Bangladesh

$13,211 Vol.

4%

icon for Afeganistão

Afeganistão

$20,787 Vol.

4%

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$69,864 Vol.

4%

icon for Malásia

Malásia

$13,354 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Syria’s ongoing security negotiations with Israel, accelerated after the 2024 fall of the Assad government, represent the clearest near-term catalyst for new recognition, with President Ahmed al-Sharaa publicly pursuing a broader peace framework in 2026. Trader consensus on limited additional recognitions by December 31, 2026, also factors in stalled Saudi normalization amid the Gaza conflict, symbolic Abraham Accords expansions such as Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession, and restored ties with Venezuela and Bolivia. Persistent barriers for holdouts including Iran, Algeria, Lebanon, and several OIC members reflect entrenched regional alignments and the two-state debate intensified by 2025 Palestinian recognitions elsewhere. US diplomatic pressure and potential Syrian breakthroughs remain the variables most likely to shift probabilities before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$770,307
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Syria’s ongoing security negotiations with Israel, accelerated after the 2024 fall of the Assad government, represent the clearest near-term catalyst for new recognition, with President Ahmed al-Sharaa publicly pursuing a broader peace framework in 2026. Trader consensus on limited additional recognitions by December 31, 2026, also factors in stalled Saudi normalization amid the Gaza conflict, symbolic Abraham Accords expansions such as Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession, and restored ties with Venezuela and Bolivia. Persistent barriers for holdouts including Iran, Algeria, Lebanon, and several OIC members reflect entrenched regional alignments and the two-state debate intensified by 2025 Palestinian recognitions elsewhere. US diplomatic pressure and potential Syrian breakthroughs remain the variables most likely to shift probabilities before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$770,307
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Líbano" at 9%, followed by "Venezuela" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?" has generated $770.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?" is "Líbano" at just 9%, with "Venezuela" close behind at 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.