Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's September 22 high centering on 24–25 °C, driven by a modest southwesterly flow under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible after midday. These conditions limit peak insolation while modest boundary-layer mixing and dew points near 10–12 °C cap afternoon warming, producing the tight 38 %–36 % market split between the two leading outcomes. Ensemble spread remains small because no strong frontal passage or subsidence inversion is forecast within the 24-hour window, though a slight westward shift in convective timing could trim the maximum by 1 °C or allow brief clearing to push it higher. Updated runs tomorrow morning will further refine the probability distribution ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 22 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Ancara em 22 de setembro?
24°C 38%
25°C 36%
23°C 14%
26°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
20°C ou menos
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
14%
24°C
38%
25°C
36%
26°C
11%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
24°C 38%
25°C 36%
23°C 14%
26°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$1,125 Vol.
2%
21°C
$168 Vol.
2%
22°C
$182 Vol.
4%
23°C
$912 Vol.
14%
24°C
$924 Vol.
38%
25°C
$1,535 Vol.
36%
26°C
$1,230 Vol.
11%
27°C
$136 Vol.
1%
28°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou mais
$295 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's September 22 high centering on 24–25 °C, driven by a modest southwesterly flow under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible after midday. These conditions limit peak insolation while modest boundary-layer mixing and dew points near 10–12 °C cap afternoon warming, producing the tight 38 %–36 % market split between the two leading outcomes. Ensemble spread remains small because no strong frontal passage or subsidence inversion is forecast within the 24-hour window, though a slight westward shift in convective timing could trim the maximum by 1 °C or allow brief clearing to push it higher. Updated runs tomorrow morning will further refine the probability distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,933Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's September 22 high centering on 24–25 °C, driven by a modest southwesterly flow under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible after midday. These conditions limit peak insolation while modest boundary-layer mixing and dew points near 10–12 °C cap afternoon warming, producing the tight 38 %–36 % market split between the two leading outcomes. Ensemble spread remains small because no strong frontal passage or subsidence inversion is forecast within the 24-hour window, though a slight westward shift in convective timing could trim the maximum by 1 °C or allow brief clearing to push it higher. Updated runs tomorrow morning will further refine the probability distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,933Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's September 22 high centering on 24–25 °C, driven by a modest southwesterly flow under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible after midday. These conditions limit peak insolation while modest boundary-layer mixing and dew points near 10–12 °C cap afternoon warming, producing the tight 38 %–36 % market split between the two leading outcomes. Ensemble spread remains small because no strong frontal passage or subsidence inversion is forecast within the 24-hour window, though a slight westward shift in convective timing could trim the maximum by 1 °C or allow brief clearing to push it higher. Updated runs tomorrow morning will further refine the probability distribution ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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