Trader sentiment strongly favors 32°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature on September 21, driven by official meteorological observations confirming this peak under stable late-September conditions. Clear skies, moderate humidity, and typical subtropical high-pressure influence have prevented significant deviations from seasonal norms, with no active tropical systems or cold fronts altering the pattern. National meteorological agency data and station measurements show consistent daytime maxima aligning precisely with this threshold. While forecast model runs occasionally diverge on micro-variations, the current observational consensus leaves little uncertainty. Only an unexpected late-day surge or data revision could shift the outcome, though historical records for the date indicate such events are rare.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 21 de setembro?
32°C 100.0%
25°C ou menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$53,523 Vol.
$53,523 Vol.
21 set 2026
25°C ou menos
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Sim
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C ou mais
Não
32°C 100.0%
25°C ou menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$53,523 Vol.
$53,523 Vol.
21 set 2026
25°C ou menos
$111 Vol.
Não
26°C
$111 Vol.
Não
27°C
$111 Vol.
Não
28°C
$1,133 Vol.
Não
29°C
$3,775 Vol.
Não
30°C
$8,156 Vol.
Não
31°C
$8,683 Vol.
Não
32°C
$6,974 Vol.
Sim
33°C
$8,442 Vol.
Não
34°C
$10,612 Vol.
Não
35°C ou mais
$5,415 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment strongly favors 32°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature on September 21, driven by official meteorological observations confirming this peak under stable late-September conditions. Clear skies, moderate humidity, and typical subtropical high-pressure influence have prevented significant deviations from seasonal norms, with no active tropical systems or cold fronts altering the pattern. National meteorological agency data and station measurements show consistent daytime maxima aligning precisely with this threshold. While forecast model runs occasionally diverge on micro-variations, the current observational consensus leaves little uncertainty. Only an unexpected late-day surge or data revision could shift the outcome, though historical records for the date indicate such events are rare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$53,523Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment strongly favors 32°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature on September 21, driven by official meteorological observations confirming this peak under stable late-September conditions. Clear skies, moderate humidity, and typical subtropical high-pressure influence have prevented significant deviations from seasonal norms, with no active tropical systems or cold fronts altering the pattern. National meteorological agency data and station measurements show consistent daytime maxima aligning precisely with this threshold. While forecast model runs occasionally diverge on micro-variations, the current observational consensus leaves little uncertainty. Only an unexpected late-day surge or data revision could shift the outcome, though historical records for the date indicate such events are rare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53,523Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader sentiment strongly favors 32°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature on September 21, driven by official meteorological observations confirming this peak under stable late-September conditions. Clear skies, moderate humidity, and typical subtropical high-pressure influence have prevented significant deviations from seasonal norms, with no active tropical systems or cold fronts altering the pattern. National meteorological agency data and station measurements show consistent daytime maxima aligning precisely with this threshold. While forecast model runs occasionally diverge on micro-variations, the current observational consensus leaves little uncertainty. Only an unexpected late-day surge or data revision could shift the outcome, though historical records for the date indicate such events are rare.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions