**Official surface observations across Shanghai stations recorded a daily maximum temperature of 29°C on September 21, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and minimal precipitation.** Multiple forecast models converged on this value days in advance, reflecting stable synoptic conditions typical for late September in the Yangtze River Delta, where diurnal warming peaks near 29–30°C absent strong frontal systems or enhanced insolation. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 29°C outcome aligns with these verified measurements rather than projections, as real-time data from sources like the China Meteorological Administration confirm the exact threshold. Minor station-to-station variations or post-event quality-control revisions remain the primary realistic scenarios that could shift resolution, though current consensus across independent datasets strongly supports the observed maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai em 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai em 21 de setembro?
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
$65,200 Vol.
$65,200 Vol.
21 set 2026
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
$65,200 Vol.
$65,200 Vol.
21 set 2026
26°C ou menos
$2,709 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7,343 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$15,478 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$23,993 Vol.
100%
30°C
$9,530 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,852 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,175 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$348 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou mais
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official surface observations across Shanghai stations recorded a daily maximum temperature of 29°C on September 21, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and minimal precipitation.** Multiple forecast models converged on this value days in advance, reflecting stable synoptic conditions typical for late September in the Yangtze River Delta, where diurnal warming peaks near 29–30°C absent strong frontal systems or enhanced insolation. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 29°C outcome aligns with these verified measurements rather than projections, as real-time data from sources like the China Meteorological Administration confirm the exact threshold. Minor station-to-station variations or post-event quality-control revisions remain the primary realistic scenarios that could shift resolution, though current consensus across independent datasets strongly supports the observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$65,200Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official surface observations across Shanghai stations recorded a daily maximum temperature of 29°C on September 21, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and minimal precipitation.** Multiple forecast models converged on this value days in advance, reflecting stable synoptic conditions typical for late September in the Yangtze River Delta, where diurnal warming peaks near 29–30°C absent strong frontal systems or enhanced insolation. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 29°C outcome aligns with these verified measurements rather than projections, as real-time data from sources like the China Meteorological Administration confirm the exact threshold. Minor station-to-station variations or post-event quality-control revisions remain the primary realistic scenarios that could shift resolution, though current consensus across independent datasets strongly supports the observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65,200Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official surface observations across Shanghai stations recorded a daily maximum temperature of 29°C on September 21, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and minimal precipitation.** Multiple forecast models converged on this value days in advance, reflecting stable synoptic conditions typical for late September in the Yangtze River Delta, where diurnal warming peaks near 29–30°C absent strong frontal systems or enhanced insolation. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 29°C outcome aligns with these verified measurements rather than projections, as real-time data from sources like the China Meteorological Administration confirm the exact threshold. Minor station-to-station variations or post-event quality-control revisions remain the primary realistic scenarios that could shift resolution, though current consensus across independent datasets strongly supports the observed maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions