Trader consensus has coalesced around a 20°C high for Cape Town on September 23 because official forecasts from GFS and regional models, corroborated by stations including Cape Town International Airport, project a peak near that mark under persistent cloud cover, southerly winds of 10–15 km/h, and mild spring conditions with highs of 19–21°C and lows around 15–16°C. Recent observations confirm daytime readings climbing to 19–20°C before evening cooling, aligning with the market-implied probability exceeding 99%. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological data rather than speculation. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unexpected late-afternoon clearing that allows brief additional warming or a station-specific microclimate reading differing by 1°C, though model consensus and current observations make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 23 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 23 de setembro?
20°C 100%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$30,817 Vol.
$30,817 Vol.
23 set 2026
17°C ou menos
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Sim
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C ou mais
Não
20°C 100%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$30,817 Vol.
$30,817 Vol.
23 set 2026
17°C ou menos
$2,958 Vol.
Não
18°C
$4,009 Vol.
Não
19°C
$5,388 Vol.
Não
20°C
$5,676 Vol.
Sim
21°C
$3,460 Vol.
Não
22°C
$2,484 Vol.
Não
23°C
$1,755 Vol.
Não
24°C
$1,364 Vol.
Não
25°C
$409 Vol.
Não
26°C
$1,331 Vol.
Não
27°C ou mais
$1,984 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around a 20°C high for Cape Town on September 23 because official forecasts from GFS and regional models, corroborated by stations including Cape Town International Airport, project a peak near that mark under persistent cloud cover, southerly winds of 10–15 km/h, and mild spring conditions with highs of 19–21°C and lows around 15–16°C. Recent observations confirm daytime readings climbing to 19–20°C before evening cooling, aligning with the market-implied probability exceeding 99%. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological data rather than speculation. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unexpected late-afternoon clearing that allows brief additional warming or a station-specific microclimate reading differing by 1°C, though model consensus and current observations make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$30,817Data de Término
23 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47de9d...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around a 20°C high for Cape Town on September 23 because official forecasts from GFS and regional models, corroborated by stations including Cape Town International Airport, project a peak near that mark under persistent cloud cover, southerly winds of 10–15 km/h, and mild spring conditions with highs of 19–21°C and lows around 15–16°C. Recent observations confirm daytime readings climbing to 19–20°C before evening cooling, aligning with the market-implied probability exceeding 99%. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological data rather than speculation. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unexpected late-afternoon clearing that allows brief additional warming or a station-specific microclimate reading differing by 1°C, though model consensus and current observations make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,817Data de Término
23 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47de9d...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus has coalesced around a 20°C high for Cape Town on September 23 because official forecasts from GFS and regional models, corroborated by stations including Cape Town International Airport, project a peak near that mark under persistent cloud cover, southerly winds of 10–15 km/h, and mild spring conditions with highs of 19–21°C and lows around 15–16°C. Recent observations confirm daytime readings climbing to 19–20°C before evening cooling, aligning with the market-implied probability exceeding 99%. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological data rather than speculation. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unexpected late-afternoon clearing that allows brief additional warming or a station-specific microclimate reading differing by 1°C, though model consensus and current observations make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions