**PAGASA's official outlook for Metro Manila on September 23 shows a forecast high of 33°C with an 80% rain chance under southwest monsoon influence, which has recently produced observed daily maxima near 33°C.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms typical of the season tend to cap peak heating by reducing solar insolation, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 32°C and 33°C rather than higher values. Short-range model guidance aligns with this range, though small differences in storm timing or monsoon strength could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Updated PAGASA bulletins and the next global model runs will provide the key data points traders are watching ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 23 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila em 23 de setembro?
32°C 38%
33°C 28%
35°C 18%
30°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
23 set 2026
28°C ou menos
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
16%
31°C
9%
32°C
38%
33°C
28%
34°C
8%
35°C
18%
36°C
12%
37°C
4%
38°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 38%
33°C 28%
35°C 18%
30°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
23 set 2026
28°C ou menos
$5 Vol.
3%
29°C
$33 Vol.
9%
30°C
$5 Vol.
16%
31°C
$5 Vol.
9%
32°C
$84 Vol.
38%
33°C
$10 Vol.
28%
34°C
$0 Vol.
8%
35°C
$5 Vol.
18%
36°C
$10 Vol.
12%
37°C
$5 Vol.
4%
38°C ou mais
$61 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**PAGASA's official outlook for Metro Manila on September 23 shows a forecast high of 33°C with an 80% rain chance under southwest monsoon influence, which has recently produced observed daily maxima near 33°C.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms typical of the season tend to cap peak heating by reducing solar insolation, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 32°C and 33°C rather than higher values. Short-range model guidance aligns with this range, though small differences in storm timing or monsoon strength could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Updated PAGASA bulletins and the next global model runs will provide the key data points traders are watching ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$223Data de Término
23 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**PAGASA's official outlook for Metro Manila on September 23 shows a forecast high of 33°C with an 80% rain chance under southwest monsoon influence, which has recently produced observed daily maxima near 33°C.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms typical of the season tend to cap peak heating by reducing solar insolation, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 32°C and 33°C rather than higher values. Short-range model guidance aligns with this range, though small differences in storm timing or monsoon strength could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Updated PAGASA bulletins and the next global model runs will provide the key data points traders are watching ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$223Data de Término
23 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**PAGASA's official outlook for Metro Manila on September 23 shows a forecast high of 33°C with an 80% rain chance under southwest monsoon influence, which has recently produced observed daily maxima near 33°C.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms typical of the season tend to cap peak heating by reducing solar insolation, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 32°C and 33°C rather than higher values. Short-range model guidance aligns with this range, though small differences in storm timing or monsoon strength could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Updated PAGASA bulletins and the next global model runs will provide the key data points traders are watching ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions