Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical weather models indicate a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 21 under a subtropical ridge, with partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit further warming. Sea-surface temperatures remain above normal across the northern South China Sea, sustaining elevated heat content, while a weaker-than-average northeast monsoon reduces advective cooling. Historical September climatology shows mean daily maxima of 30.8–31.2°C, so current conditions align with the upper end of the distribution. Traders assign 53% implied probability to 32°C and 26% to 33°C because afternoon observations and updated model runs have not yet signaled a cooler or hotter outlier, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at the Observatory before evening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 21 de setembro?
32°C 54%
33°C 25%
31°C 14%
34°C 1.5%
NOVO
$47,897 Vol.
NOVO
$47,897 Vol.
21 set 2026
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
14%
32°C
54%
33°C
25%
34°C
2%
35°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 54%
33°C 25%
31°C 14%
34°C 1.5%
NOVO
$47,897 Vol.
NOVO
$47,897 Vol.
21 set 2026
25°C ou menos
$135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$490 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,008 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$11,249 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$17,776 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,437 Vol.
14%
32°C
$3,146 Vol.
54%
33°C
$4,393 Vol.
25%
34°C
$3,523 Vol.
2%
35°C ou mais
$615 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical weather models indicate a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 21 under a subtropical ridge, with partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit further warming. Sea-surface temperatures remain above normal across the northern South China Sea, sustaining elevated heat content, while a weaker-than-average northeast monsoon reduces advective cooling. Historical September climatology shows mean daily maxima of 30.8–31.2°C, so current conditions align with the upper end of the distribution. Traders assign 53% implied probability to 32°C and 26% to 33°C because afternoon observations and updated model runs have not yet signaled a cooler or hotter outlier, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at the Observatory before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$47,897Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical weather models indicate a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 21 under a subtropical ridge, with partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit further warming. Sea-surface temperatures remain above normal across the northern South China Sea, sustaining elevated heat content, while a weaker-than-average northeast monsoon reduces advective cooling. Historical September climatology shows mean daily maxima of 30.8–31.2°C, so current conditions align with the upper end of the distribution. Traders assign 53% implied probability to 32°C and 26% to 33°C because afternoon observations and updated model runs have not yet signaled a cooler or hotter outlier, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at the Observatory before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$47,897Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical weather models indicate a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 21 under a subtropical ridge, with partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit further warming. Sea-surface temperatures remain above normal across the northern South China Sea, sustaining elevated heat content, while a weaker-than-average northeast monsoon reduces advective cooling. Historical September climatology shows mean daily maxima of 30.8–31.2°C, so current conditions align with the upper end of the distribution. Traders assign 53% implied probability to 32°C and 26% to 33°C because afternoon observations and updated model runs have not yet signaled a cooler or hotter outlier, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at the Observatory before evening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions