Heavy rainfall and strong northeasterly winds from Typhoon Dujuan, positioned southwest of the Izu Islands and tracking northeast toward the Boso Peninsula, have suppressed daytime heating across the Kanto region on September 21. Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus project a daily maximum of 24°C amid persistent downpours, with observed temperatures hovering near 23–24°C through the afternoon. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 24°C (61.5% implied probability) over 25°C (35%), as the typhoon’s cloud cover and precipitation limit solar insolation and keep surface temperatures below seasonal normals of roughly 25–26°C. Updated JMA guidance and radar trends through the evening will determine final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 21 de setembro?
24°C 57%
25°C 39%
26°C 3%
28°C <1%
$100,012 Vol.
$100,012 Vol.
21 set 2026
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
57%
25°C
39%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
24°C 57%
25°C 39%
26°C 3%
28°C <1%
$100,012 Vol.
$100,012 Vol.
21 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$1,111 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,720 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$11,705 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$17,601 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$21,328 Vol.
57%
25°C
$10,211 Vol.
39%
26°C
$13,517 Vol.
3%
27°C
$10,975 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,692 Vol.
1%
29°C
$4,197 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou mais
$1,088 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rainfall and strong northeasterly winds from Typhoon Dujuan, positioned southwest of the Izu Islands and tracking northeast toward the Boso Peninsula, have suppressed daytime heating across the Kanto region on September 21. Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus project a daily maximum of 24°C amid persistent downpours, with observed temperatures hovering near 23–24°C through the afternoon. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 24°C (61.5% implied probability) over 25°C (35%), as the typhoon’s cloud cover and precipitation limit solar insolation and keep surface temperatures below seasonal normals of roughly 25–26°C. Updated JMA guidance and radar trends through the evening will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$100,012Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rainfall and strong northeasterly winds from Typhoon Dujuan, positioned southwest of the Izu Islands and tracking northeast toward the Boso Peninsula, have suppressed daytime heating across the Kanto region on September 21. Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus project a daily maximum of 24°C amid persistent downpours, with observed temperatures hovering near 23–24°C through the afternoon. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 24°C (61.5% implied probability) over 25°C (35%), as the typhoon’s cloud cover and precipitation limit solar insolation and keep surface temperatures below seasonal normals of roughly 25–26°C. Updated JMA guidance and radar trends through the evening will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$100,012Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Heavy rainfall and strong northeasterly winds from Typhoon Dujuan, positioned southwest of the Izu Islands and tracking northeast toward the Boso Peninsula, have suppressed daytime heating across the Kanto region on September 21. Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus project a daily maximum of 24°C amid persistent downpours, with observed temperatures hovering near 23–24°C through the afternoon. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 24°C (61.5% implied probability) over 25°C (35%), as the typhoon’s cloud cover and precipitation limit solar insolation and keep surface temperatures below seasonal normals of roughly 25–26°C. Updated JMA guidance and radar trends through the evening will determine final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions