Discord's confidential January 2026 S-1 filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as leads has not produced a public prospectus, shifting the base case for an IPO into 2027 amid SEC review timelines and softer equity-market conditions for consumer platforms. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion as of mid-2026—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak—reflecting compressed multiples on roughly $600–900 million in annualized revenue and 200 million monthly active users. Trader consensus prices the absence of an IPO by December 31, 2027 at 49.1 percent implied probability, while the 8–14 billion closing-market-cap brackets together command over 30 percent, consistent with current private valuations and the limited near-term catalysts that could accelerate a listing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoValor de mercado de fechamento do IPO do Discord
Valor de mercado de fechamento do IPO do Discord
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 45.3%
11–14B 20.1%
8–11B 9%
17–20B 4.6%
$68,331 Vol.
$68,331 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<5B
2%
5–8B
2%
8–11B
9%
11–14B
20%
14–17B
4%
17–20B
5%
20B+
5%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
45%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 45.3%
11–14B 20.1%
8–11B 9%
17–20B 4.6%
$68,331 Vol.
$68,331 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<5B
$15,738 Vol.
2%
5–8B
$4,825 Vol.
2%
8–11B
$13,521 Vol.
9%
11–14B
$8,588 Vol.
20%
14–17B
$2,601 Vol.
4%
17–20B
$5,142 Vol.
5%
20B+
$4,629 Vol.
5%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
$13,748 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord's confidential January 2026 S-1 filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as leads has not produced a public prospectus, shifting the base case for an IPO into 2027 amid SEC review timelines and softer equity-market conditions for consumer platforms. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion as of mid-2026—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak—reflecting compressed multiples on roughly $600–900 million in annualized revenue and 200 million monthly active users. Trader consensus prices the absence of an IPO by December 31, 2027 at 49.1 percent implied probability, while the 8–14 billion closing-market-cap brackets together command over 30 percent, consistent with current private valuations and the limited near-term catalysts that could accelerate a listing.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$68,331Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord's confidential January 2026 S-1 filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as leads has not produced a public prospectus, shifting the base case for an IPO into 2027 amid SEC review timelines and softer equity-market conditions for consumer platforms. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion as of mid-2026—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak—reflecting compressed multiples on roughly $600–900 million in annualized revenue and 200 million monthly active users. Trader consensus prices the absence of an IPO by December 31, 2027 at 49.1 percent implied probability, while the 8–14 billion closing-market-cap brackets together command over 30 percent, consistent with current private valuations and the limited near-term catalysts that could accelerate a listing.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$68,331Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Discord's confidential January 2026 S-1 filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as leads has not produced a public prospectus, shifting the base case for an IPO into 2027 amid SEC review timelines and softer equity-market conditions for consumer platforms. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion as of mid-2026—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak—reflecting compressed multiples on roughly $600–900 million in annualized revenue and 200 million monthly active users. Trader consensus prices the absence of an IPO by December 31, 2027 at 49.1 percent implied probability, while the 8–14 billion closing-market-cap brackets together command over 30 percent, consistent with current private valuations and the limited near-term catalysts that could accelerate a listing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions