Traders assign Anthropic an 83.5% implied probability of fielding the leading AI agent by end of October, reflecting its recent model releases that emphasize reliable multi-step reasoning, tool integration, and autonomous task execution over competing large language models. This consensus draws from demonstrated agentic benchmarks where Anthropic systems have outperformed peers in controlled evaluations of planning and error recovery. OpenAI trails at 15% amid slower visible progress on similar agent frameworks, while other labs sit below 1%. Key near-term catalysts include any additional capability updates or third-party assessments before resolution, though product timelines in this space remain prone to shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best AI Agent end of October?
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
Anthropic 84%
OpenAI 15%
Meta 1.9%
Alibaba <1%
$31,137 Wol.
$31,137 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
84%
OpenAI
15%
Meta
2%
Alibaba
1%
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Moonshot
1%
ByteDance
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 84%
OpenAI 15%
Meta 1.9%
Alibaba <1%
$31,137 Wol.
$31,137 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$16,124 Wol.
84%
OpenAI
$4,240 Wol.
15%
Meta
$1,133 Wol.
2%
Alibaba
$796 Wol.
1%
$1,001 Wol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,172 Wol.
1%
Moonshot
$865 Wol.
1%
ByteDance
$464 Wol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$808 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$509 Wol.
<1%
Z.ai
$372 Wol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$511 Wol.
<1%
MiniMax
$497 Wol.
<1%
Nvidia
$464 Wol.
<1%
Baidu
$335 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$660 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$675 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$509 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders assign Anthropic an 83.5% implied probability of fielding the leading AI agent by end of October, reflecting its recent model releases that emphasize reliable multi-step reasoning, tool integration, and autonomous task execution over competing large language models. This consensus draws from demonstrated agentic benchmarks where Anthropic systems have outperformed peers in controlled evaluations of planning and error recovery. OpenAI trails at 15% amid slower visible progress on similar agent frameworks, while other labs sit below 1%. Key near-term catalysts include any additional capability updates or third-party assessments before resolution, though product timelines in this space remain prone to shifts.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Wolumen
$31,137Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders assign Anthropic an 83.5% implied probability of fielding the leading AI agent by end of October, reflecting its recent model releases that emphasize reliable multi-step reasoning, tool integration, and autonomous task execution over competing large language models. This consensus draws from demonstrated agentic benchmarks where Anthropic systems have outperformed peers in controlled evaluations of planning and error recovery. OpenAI trails at 15% amid slower visible progress on similar agent frameworks, while other labs sit below 1%. Key near-term catalysts include any additional capability updates or third-party assessments before resolution, though product timelines in this space remain prone to shifts.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Wolumen
$31,137Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign Anthropic an 83.5% implied probability of fielding the leading AI agent by end of October, reflecting its recent model releases that emphasize reliable multi-step reasoning, tool integration, and autonomous task execution over competing large language models. This consensus draws from demonstrated agentic benchmarks where Anthropic systems have outperformed peers in controlled evaluations of planning and error recovery. OpenAI trails at 15% amid slower visible progress on similar agent frameworks, while other labs sit below 1%. Key near-term catalysts include any additional capability updates or third-party assessments before resolution, though product timelines in this space remain prone to shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania