Anthropic holds a commanding lead in trader-implied odds for the best AI model by end of November due to its recent Claude Fable 5.1 release topping independent benchmarks such as BenchAlign and coding evaluations like SWE-bench Verified, alongside strong enterprise API spend share. The company's large language models have demonstrated superior agentic coding, reasoning, and multimodal performance relative to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini variants, which trail on key capability metrics. Recent optimizations of open-source biomolecular tools and sustained leaderboard dominance through mid-September 2026 reinforce this positioning, though tight timelines leave room for competitive model updates or shifts in third-party evaluations to influence the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Anthropic 78%
OpenAI 9%
Google 7%
Mistral 4.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
78%
OpenAI
9%
7%
Mistral
4%
SpaceXAI
4%
Baidu
4%
Amazon
4%
ByteDance
4%
Moonshot
3%
StepFun
3%
Nvidia
3%
Meta
1%
Alibaba
1%
Thinky
1%
Microsoft
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Z.ai
1%
Xiaomi
1%
MiniMax
1%
Meituan
1%
Tencent
1%
Anthropic 78%
OpenAI 9%
Google 7%
Mistral 4.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
$717 Wol.
78%
OpenAI
$334 Wol.
9%
$277 Wol.
7%
Mistral
$111 Wol.
4%
SpaceXAI
$125 Wol.
4%
Baidu
$157 Wol.
4%
Amazon
$158 Wol.
4%
ByteDance
$155 Wol.
4%
Moonshot
$123 Wol.
3%
StepFun
$186 Wol.
3%
Nvidia
$158 Wol.
3%
Meta
$123 Wol.
1%
Alibaba
$84 Wol.
1%
Thinky
$156 Wol.
1%
Microsoft
$120 Wol.
1%
DeepSeek
$74 Wol.
1%
Z.ai
$74 Wol.
1%
Xiaomi
$123 Wol.
1%
MiniMax
$74 Wol.
1%
Meituan
$74 Wol.
1%
Tencent
$74 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a commanding lead in trader-implied odds for the best AI model by end of November due to its recent Claude Fable 5.1 release topping independent benchmarks such as BenchAlign and coding evaluations like SWE-bench Verified, alongside strong enterprise API spend share. The company's large language models have demonstrated superior agentic coding, reasoning, and multimodal performance relative to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini variants, which trail on key capability metrics. Recent optimizations of open-source biomolecular tools and sustained leaderboard dominance through mid-September 2026 reinforce this positioning, though tight timelines leave room for competitive model updates or shifts in third-party evaluations to influence the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,479Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a commanding lead in trader-implied odds for the best AI model by end of November due to its recent Claude Fable 5.1 release topping independent benchmarks such as BenchAlign and coding evaluations like SWE-bench Verified, alongside strong enterprise API spend share. The company's large language models have demonstrated superior agentic coding, reasoning, and multimodal performance relative to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini variants, which trail on key capability metrics. Recent optimizations of open-source biomolecular tools and sustained leaderboard dominance through mid-September 2026 reinforce this positioning, though tight timelines leave room for competitive model updates or shifts in third-party evaluations to influence the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$3,479Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a commanding lead in trader-implied odds for the best AI model by end of November due to its recent Claude Fable 5.1 release topping independent benchmarks such as BenchAlign and coding evaluations like SWE-bench Verified, alongside strong enterprise API spend share. The company's large language models have demonstrated superior agentic coding, reasoning, and multimodal performance relative to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini variants, which trail on key capability metrics. Recent optimizations of open-source biomolecular tools and sustained leaderboard dominance through mid-September 2026 reinforce this positioning, though tight timelines leave room for competitive model updates or shifts in third-party evaluations to influence the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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