Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 41.4% for the best Text Arena Math model by end of November, driven by Claude Opus and Fable variants topping recent arena.ai math leaderboards with Elo scores above 1530. This edge stems from September 2026 demonstrations of advanced formal reasoning, including Claude's computer-verified formalization of Fermat’s last theorem and progress on long-standing problems like the Riemann hypothesis. OpenAI and Google trail at 17.5% each, reflecting competitive but lower arena rankings despite their own advances in agentic math solving and high AIME/GPQA scores. The 45-55% range across many outcomes highlights ongoing uncertainty, as new model releases or benchmark updates through November could shift relative positioning among frontier labs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
Anthropic 39.3%
Google 19%
OpenAI 18%
Z.ai 6.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
39%
19%
OpenAI
18%
Z.ai
7%
ByteDance
6%
Nvidia
4%
Meituan
4%
Moonshot
2%
Alibaba
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Microsoft
1%
Baidu
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meta
1%
MiniMax
1%
Amazon
1%
Mistral
1%
Tencent
1%
StepFun
1%
Thinky
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Anthropic 39.3%
Google 19%
OpenAI 18%
Z.ai 6.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
$2,540 Wol.
39%
$1,240 Wol.
19%
OpenAI
$1,112 Wol.
18%
Z.ai
$173 Wol.
7%
ByteDance
$379 Wol.
6%
Nvidia
$479 Wol.
4%
Meituan
$1,346 Wol.
4%
Moonshot
$115 Wol.
2%
Alibaba
$100 Wol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$121 Wol.
1%
Microsoft
$129 Wol.
1%
Baidu
$133 Wol.
1%
Xiaomi
$133 Wol.
1%
Meta
$133 Wol.
1%
MiniMax
$133 Wol.
1%
Amazon
$148 Wol.
1%
Mistral
$165 Wol.
1%
Tencent
$120 Wol.
1%
StepFun
$133 Wol.
1%
Thinky
$133 Wol.
1%
DeepSeek
$133 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 41.4% for the best Text Arena Math model by end of November, driven by Claude Opus and Fable variants topping recent arena.ai math leaderboards with Elo scores above 1530. This edge stems from September 2026 demonstrations of advanced formal reasoning, including Claude's computer-verified formalization of Fermat’s last theorem and progress on long-standing problems like the Riemann hypothesis. OpenAI and Google trail at 17.5% each, reflecting competitive but lower arena rankings despite their own advances in agentic math solving and high AIME/GPQA scores. The 45-55% range across many outcomes highlights ongoing uncertainty, as new model releases or benchmark updates through November could shift relative positioning among frontier labs.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,097Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 41.4% for the best Text Arena Math model by end of November, driven by Claude Opus and Fable variants topping recent arena.ai math leaderboards with Elo scores above 1530. This edge stems from September 2026 demonstrations of advanced formal reasoning, including Claude's computer-verified formalization of Fermat’s last theorem and progress on long-standing problems like the Riemann hypothesis. OpenAI and Google trail at 17.5% each, reflecting competitive but lower arena rankings despite their own advances in agentic math solving and high AIME/GPQA scores. The 45-55% range across many outcomes highlights ongoing uncertainty, as new model releases or benchmark updates through November could shift relative positioning among frontier labs.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$9,097Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 41.4% for the best Text Arena Math model by end of November, driven by Claude Opus and Fable variants topping recent arena.ai math leaderboards with Elo scores above 1530. This edge stems from September 2026 demonstrations of advanced formal reasoning, including Claude's computer-verified formalization of Fermat’s last theorem and progress on long-standing problems like the Riemann hypothesis. OpenAI and Google trail at 17.5% each, reflecting competitive but lower arena rankings despite their own advances in agentic math solving and high AIME/GPQA scores. The 45-55% range across many outcomes highlights ongoing uncertainty, as new model releases or benchmark updates through November could shift relative positioning among frontier labs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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