Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released in early September 2026, currently leads multiple independent leaderboards with composite scores around 96, excelling in agentic coding, reasoning, and knowledge-work benchmarks ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini variants. This recent performance edge, building on Anthropic's Mythos-class architecture and strong enterprise adoption signals, underpins the market's 74.5% implied probability for Anthropic to hold the top model by end-November. Traders appear to discount near-term disruption from rivals, even amid industry calls for slower capability releases due to safety concerns and related antitrust litigation, given the short timeline and Anthropic's demonstrated benchmark momentum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)
Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)
Anthropic 75%
Meta 11%
Google 9%
Amazon 4.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
75%
Meta
11%
9%
Amazon
5%
Meituan
3%
StepFun
3%
Thinky
3%
Nvidia
3%
OpenAI
2%
Moonshot
2%
Alibaba
2%
Tencent
1%
Baidu
1%
ByteDance
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Microsoft
1%
Z.ai
1%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Mistral
1%
Anthropic 75%
Meta 11%
Google 9%
Amazon 4.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
$1,257 Wol.
75%
Meta
$284 Wol.
11%
$258 Wol.
9%
Amazon
$191 Wol.
5%
Meituan
$191 Wol.
3%
StepFun
$191 Wol.
3%
Thinky
$193 Wol.
3%
Nvidia
$180 Wol.
3%
OpenAI
$182 Wol.
2%
Moonshot
$182 Wol.
2%
Alibaba
$166 Wol.
2%
Tencent
$186 Wol.
1%
Baidu
$145 Wol.
1%
ByteDance
$131 Wol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$170 Wol.
1%
Microsoft
$260 Wol.
1%
Z.ai
$187 Wol.
1%
Xiaomi
$190 Wol.
1%
DeepSeek
$191 Wol.
1%
MiniMax
$191 Wol.
1%
Mistral
$231 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released in early September 2026, currently leads multiple independent leaderboards with composite scores around 96, excelling in agentic coding, reasoning, and knowledge-work benchmarks ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini variants. This recent performance edge, building on Anthropic's Mythos-class architecture and strong enterprise adoption signals, underpins the market's 74.5% implied probability for Anthropic to hold the top model by end-November. Traders appear to discount near-term disruption from rivals, even amid industry calls for slower capability releases due to safety concerns and related antitrust litigation, given the short timeline and Anthropic's demonstrated benchmark momentum.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,157Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released in early September 2026, currently leads multiple independent leaderboards with composite scores around 96, excelling in agentic coding, reasoning, and knowledge-work benchmarks ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini variants. This recent performance edge, building on Anthropic's Mythos-class architecture and strong enterprise adoption signals, underpins the market's 74.5% implied probability for Anthropic to hold the top model by end-November. Traders appear to discount near-term disruption from rivals, even amid industry calls for slower capability releases due to safety concerns and related antitrust litigation, given the short timeline and Anthropic's demonstrated benchmark momentum.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$5,157Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1, released in early September 2026, currently leads multiple independent leaderboards with composite scores around 96, excelling in agentic coding, reasoning, and knowledge-work benchmarks ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini variants. This recent performance edge, building on Anthropic's Mythos-class architecture and strong enterprise adoption signals, underpins the market's 74.5% implied probability for Anthropic to hold the top model by end-November. Traders appear to discount near-term disruption from rivals, even amid industry calls for slower capability releases due to safety concerns and related antitrust litigation, given the short timeline and Anthropic's demonstrated benchmark momentum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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