OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5 has driven its dominant 80.5% market-implied probability for the best text-to-image model by end of November. The update delivers sharper details, richer textures, up to 50% lower latency, and more reliable multi-turn editing while introducing Sketch and template tools, quickly placing its Flare and Sunburst variants atop independent arenas ahead of Microsoft’s MAI-Image series and Google’s Nano Banana models. Traders view this as a clear extension of OpenAI’s earlier GPT-Image 2 lead, with strong prompt adherence and commercial usability reinforcing the consensus. Lower odds for Recraft, Google, Ideogram, and others reflect limited recent capability jumps, though any major benchmark shifts or new releases before November could still alter positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?
OpenAI 81%
Recraft 3.9%
Google 3.7%
Ideogram 3.6%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
OpenAI
81%
Recraft
4%
4%
Ideogram
4%
Alibaba
4%
ByteDance
3%
Tencent
3%
Microsoft AI
3%
Meta
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Luma AI
1%
Black Forest Labs
1%
Reve
8%
OpenAI 81%
Recraft 3.9%
Google 3.7%
Ideogram 3.6%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
OpenAI
$1,853 Wol.
81%
Recraft
$93 Wol.
4%
$106 Wol.
4%
Ideogram
$88 Wol.
4%
Alibaba
$114 Wol.
4%
ByteDance
$260 Wol.
3%
Tencent
$468 Wol.
3%
Microsoft AI
$146 Wol.
3%
Meta
$108 Wol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$302 Wol.
1%
Luma AI
$106 Wol.
1%
Black Forest Labs
$88 Wol.
1%
Reve
$138 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5 has driven its dominant 80.5% market-implied probability for the best text-to-image model by end of November. The update delivers sharper details, richer textures, up to 50% lower latency, and more reliable multi-turn editing while introducing Sketch and template tools, quickly placing its Flare and Sunburst variants atop independent arenas ahead of Microsoft’s MAI-Image series and Google’s Nano Banana models. Traders view this as a clear extension of OpenAI’s earlier GPT-Image 2 lead, with strong prompt adherence and commercial usability reinforcing the consensus. Lower odds for Recraft, Google, Ideogram, and others reflect limited recent capability jumps, though any major benchmark shifts or new releases before November could still alter positioning.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,872Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5 has driven its dominant 80.5% market-implied probability for the best text-to-image model by end of November. The update delivers sharper details, richer textures, up to 50% lower latency, and more reliable multi-turn editing while introducing Sketch and template tools, quickly placing its Flare and Sunburst variants atop independent arenas ahead of Microsoft’s MAI-Image series and Google’s Nano Banana models. Traders view this as a clear extension of OpenAI’s earlier GPT-Image 2 lead, with strong prompt adherence and commercial usability reinforcing the consensus. Lower odds for Recraft, Google, Ideogram, and others reflect limited recent capability jumps, though any major benchmark shifts or new releases before November could still alter positioning.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$3,872Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5 has driven its dominant 80.5% market-implied probability for the best text-to-image model by end of November. The update delivers sharper details, richer textures, up to 50% lower latency, and more reliable multi-turn editing while introducing Sketch and template tools, quickly placing its Flare and Sunburst variants atop independent arenas ahead of Microsoft’s MAI-Image series and Google’s Nano Banana models. Traders view this as a clear extension of OpenAI’s earlier GPT-Image 2 lead, with strong prompt adherence and commercial usability reinforcing the consensus. Lower odds for Recraft, Google, Ideogram, and others reflect limited recent capability jumps, though any major benchmark shifts or new releases before November could still alter positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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