Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion, with annualized run rates climbing from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to over $65 billion by July 2026, underpins the 96.2% market-implied probability on a 600B+ closing market cap. The company’s May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, confidential S-1 filing in June, and ongoing preparations for a late-2026 listing with banker targets near $1.5–2 trillion have reinforced trader consensus that frontier AI demand will support premium pricing relative to recent benchmarks like SpaceX. Key catalysts ahead include the expected late-September prospectus release and mid-October marketing. Scenarios that could still pressure the outcome include material delays pushing the IPO past 2027, sharper-than-expected gross-margin compression, or broader market aversion to large AI offerings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano600B+ 96.2%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 1.0%
400–600B <1%
<100B <1%
$446,905 Wol.
$446,905 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
1%
600B+
96%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
600B+ 96.2%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 1.0%
400–600B <1%
<100B <1%
$446,905 Wol.
$446,905 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
$158,183 Wol.
1%
100–200B
$82,836 Wol.
<1%
200–300B
$22,847 Wol.
<1%
300–400B
$73,808 Wol.
<1%
400–600B
$22,929 Wol.
1%
600B+
$48,396 Wol.
96%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$37,907 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion, with annualized run rates climbing from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to over $65 billion by July 2026, underpins the 96.2% market-implied probability on a 600B+ closing market cap. The company’s May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, confidential S-1 filing in June, and ongoing preparations for a late-2026 listing with banker targets near $1.5–2 trillion have reinforced trader consensus that frontier AI demand will support premium pricing relative to recent benchmarks like SpaceX. Key catalysts ahead include the expected late-September prospectus release and mid-October marketing. Scenarios that could still pressure the outcome include material delays pushing the IPO past 2027, sharper-than-expected gross-margin compression, or broader market aversion to large AI offerings.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$446,905Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion, with annualized run rates climbing from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to over $65 billion by July 2026, underpins the 96.2% market-implied probability on a 600B+ closing market cap. The company’s May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, confidential S-1 filing in June, and ongoing preparations for a late-2026 listing with banker targets near $1.5–2 trillion have reinforced trader consensus that frontier AI demand will support premium pricing relative to recent benchmarks like SpaceX. Key catalysts ahead include the expected late-September prospectus release and mid-October marketing. Scenarios that could still pressure the outcome include material delays pushing the IPO past 2027, sharper-than-expected gross-margin compression, or broader market aversion to large AI offerings.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$446,905Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion, with annualized run rates climbing from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to over $65 billion by July 2026, underpins the 96.2% market-implied probability on a 600B+ closing market cap. The company’s May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, confidential S-1 filing in June, and ongoing preparations for a late-2026 listing with banker targets near $1.5–2 trillion have reinforced trader consensus that frontier AI demand will support premium pricing relative to recent benchmarks like SpaceX. Key catalysts ahead include the expected late-September prospectus release and mid-October marketing. Scenarios that could still pressure the outcome include material delays pushing the IPO past 2027, sharper-than-expected gross-margin compression, or broader market aversion to large AI offerings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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