Moonshot leads trader sentiment for third-best AI agent lab by end of October with a 40.5% implied probability, driven by its recent Kimi model updates emphasizing advanced tool-calling, multi-step planning, and integration with Chinese developer ecosystems. SpaceXAI follows at 11%, reflecting xAI's rapid iteration on Grok agents and hardware synergies, while OpenAI and Google trail at 8% and 6.5% amid established but slower agent-specific releases. The fragmented field, with most labs below 10%, highlights intense competition in demonstrated capabilities like autonomous task execution and benchmark performance, where small releases or partnerships could shift outcomes before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoThird-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
Moonshot 41%
SpaceXAI 11.0%
OpenAI 8%
Google 6.8%
$24,004 Wol.
$24,004 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
Moonshot
41%
SpaceXAI
11%
OpenAI
8%
7%
Z.ai
6%
Microsoft
5%
Alibaba
4%
Xiaomi
5%
Anthropic
4%
DeepSeek
1%
Meta
1%
Baidu
1%
MiniMax
1%
Nvidia
1%
Amazon
1%
Mistral
1%
Meituan
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Moonshot 41%
SpaceXAI 11.0%
OpenAI 8%
Google 6.8%
$24,004 Wol.
$24,004 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
Moonshot
$10,352 Wol.
41%
SpaceXAI
$2,304 Wol.
11%
OpenAI
$5,965 Wol.
8%
$295 Wol.
7%
Z.ai
$454 Wol.
6%
Microsoft
$257 Wol.
5%
Alibaba
$669 Wol.
4%
Xiaomi
$262 Wol.
5%
Anthropic
$1,067 Wol.
4%
DeepSeek
$342 Wol.
1%
Meta
$234 Wol.
1%
Baidu
$229 Wol.
1%
MiniMax
$229 Wol.
1%
Nvidia
$189 Wol.
1%
Amazon
$206 Wol.
1%
Mistral
$234 Wol.
1%
Meituan
$229 Wol.
1%
ByteDance
$488 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot leads trader sentiment for third-best AI agent lab by end of October with a 40.5% implied probability, driven by its recent Kimi model updates emphasizing advanced tool-calling, multi-step planning, and integration with Chinese developer ecosystems. SpaceXAI follows at 11%, reflecting xAI's rapid iteration on Grok agents and hardware synergies, while OpenAI and Google trail at 8% and 6.5% amid established but slower agent-specific releases. The fragmented field, with most labs below 10%, highlights intense competition in demonstrated capabilities like autonomous task execution and benchmark performance, where small releases or partnerships could shift outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Wolumen
$24,004Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot leads trader sentiment for third-best AI agent lab by end of October with a 40.5% implied probability, driven by its recent Kimi model updates emphasizing advanced tool-calling, multi-step planning, and integration with Chinese developer ecosystems. SpaceXAI follows at 11%, reflecting xAI's rapid iteration on Grok agents and hardware synergies, while OpenAI and Google trail at 8% and 6.5% amid established but slower agent-specific releases. The fragmented field, with most labs below 10%, highlights intense competition in demonstrated capabilities like autonomous task execution and benchmark performance, where small releases or partnerships could shift outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$24,004Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Moonshot leads trader sentiment for third-best AI agent lab by end of October with a 40.5% implied probability, driven by its recent Kimi model updates emphasizing advanced tool-calling, multi-step planning, and integration with Chinese developer ecosystems. SpaceXAI follows at 11%, reflecting xAI's rapid iteration on Grok agents and hardware synergies, while OpenAI and Google trail at 8% and 6.5% amid established but slower agent-specific releases. The fragmented field, with most labs below 10%, highlights intense competition in demonstrated capabilities like autonomous task execution and benchmark performance, where small releases or partnerships could shift outcomes before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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