Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and Ipsos-Ipec shows a tight contest for the second Senate seat in Ceará, with Luizianne Lins, Capitão Wagner, and Alcides Fernandes clustered closely behind frontrunner Cid Gomes. Multiple surveys in August and early September 2026 place the top contenders within the margin of error for second-place support when voters select two names, reflecting a fragmented field and undecided voters. This positioning keeps implied probabilities for second place competitive among the leading names, with limited separation until later campaign events, alliances, or additional surveys clarify voter preferences in the October election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLuizianne 43%
Capitão Wagner 36%
Cid Gomes 21%
Alcides Fernandes 2.9%
$36,440 Wol.
$36,440 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Luizianne
43%
Capitão Wagner
36%
Cid Gomes
21%
Alcides Fernandes
3%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Luizianne 43%
Capitão Wagner 36%
Cid Gomes 21%
Alcides Fernandes 2.9%
$36,440 Wol.
$36,440 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Luizianne
$11,611 Wol.
43%
Capitão Wagner
$14,299 Wol.
36%
Cid Gomes
$4,901 Wol.
21%
Alcides Fernandes
$1,095 Wol.
3%
Lino Alves
$942 Wol.
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$820 Wol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$1,538 Wol.
<1%
Reginaldo
$1,234 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and Ipsos-Ipec shows a tight contest for the second Senate seat in Ceará, with Luizianne Lins, Capitão Wagner, and Alcides Fernandes clustered closely behind frontrunner Cid Gomes. Multiple surveys in August and early September 2026 place the top contenders within the margin of error for second-place support when voters select two names, reflecting a fragmented field and undecided voters. This positioning keeps implied probabilities for second place competitive among the leading names, with limited separation until later campaign events, alliances, or additional surveys clarify voter preferences in the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$36,440Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and Ipsos-Ipec shows a tight contest for the second Senate seat in Ceará, with Luizianne Lins, Capitão Wagner, and Alcides Fernandes clustered closely behind frontrunner Cid Gomes. Multiple surveys in August and early September 2026 place the top contenders within the margin of error for second-place support when voters select two names, reflecting a fragmented field and undecided voters. This positioning keeps implied probabilities for second place competitive among the leading names, with limited separation until later campaign events, alliances, or additional surveys clarify voter preferences in the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$36,440Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and Ipsos-Ipec shows a tight contest for the second Senate seat in Ceará, with Luizianne Lins, Capitão Wagner, and Alcides Fernandes clustered closely behind frontrunner Cid Gomes. Multiple surveys in August and early September 2026 place the top contenders within the margin of error for second-place support when voters select two names, reflecting a fragmented field and undecided voters. This positioning keeps implied probabilities for second place competitive among the leading names, with limited separation until later campaign events, alliances, or additional surveys clarify voter preferences in the October election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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