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Polityka·Brazylia

Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
Polityka·Brazylia

Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

Lula 69%

Flavio Bolsonaro 30%

Ronaldo Caiado <1%

Zema <1%

Polymarket

$142,402 Wol.

Lula 69%

Flavio Bolsonaro 30%

Ronaldo Caiado <1%

Zema <1%

Polymarket

$142,402 Wol.

icon for Lula

Lula

$63,642 Wol.

69%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$59,653 Wol.

30%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$4,126 Wol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$546 Wol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$4,462 Wol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$1,189 Wol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$6,851 Wol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$477 Wol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$288 Wol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$296 Wol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$296 Wol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$316 Wol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$259 Wol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintains a narrow but consistent lead in recent first-round polling aggregates for Brazil’s October 4 presidential election, reflecting his established support base and the advantages of incumbency in a fragmented field. Senator Flavio Bolsonaro trails as the primary right-wing challenger, with surveys showing the pair separated by just a few points amid ongoing campaign momentum. Minor candidates such as Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema register only low single-digit support, limiting their prospects for topping the ballot. Trader pricing aligns with these trends, as the wisdom of crowds prices in Lula’s structural edge while accounting for the possibility that no candidate reaches an outright majority, which would trigger an October 25 runoff.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$142,402
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 1:47 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintains a narrow but consistent lead in recent first-round polling aggregates for Brazil’s October 4 presidential election, reflecting his established support base and the advantages of incumbency in a fragmented field. Senator Flavio Bolsonaro trails as the primary right-wing challenger, with surveys showing the pair separated by just a few points amid ongoing campaign momentum. Minor candidates such as Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema register only low single-digit support, limiting their prospects for topping the ballot. Trader pricing aligns with these trends, as the wisdom of crowds prices in Lula’s structural edge while accounting for the possibility that no candidate reaches an outright majority, which would trigger an October 25 runoff.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$142,402
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 1:47 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 13 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Lula" z 69%, za nim "Flavio Bolsonaro" z 30%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 69¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 69% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner" wygenerował $142.4K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Aug 31, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner", przeglądaj 13 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner" jest "Lula" z 69%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 69% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Flavio Bolsonaro" z 30%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.