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Polityka·Brazylia

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

icon for Amazonas Governor Election Winner
Polityka·Brazylia

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Omar Aziz 52%

Professora Maria do Carmo 35%

Roberto Cidade 15.6%

Gilberto Vasconcelos <1%

Polymarket

$29,639 Wol.

Omar Aziz 52%

Professora Maria do Carmo 35%

Roberto Cidade 15.6%

Gilberto Vasconcelos <1%

Polymarket

$29,639 Wol.

icon for Omar Aziz

Omar Aziz

$9,911 Wol.

52%

icon for Professora Maria do Carmo

Professora Maria do Carmo

$6,370 Wol.

35%

icon for Roberto Cidade

Roberto Cidade

$5,211 Wol.

16%

icon for Gilberto Vasconcelos

Gilberto Vasconcelos

$2,168 Wol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Daciolo

Cabo Daciolo

$1,959 Wol.

<1%

icon for David Almeida

David Almeida

$2,085 Wol.

<1%

icon for Isael Munduruku

Isael Munduruku

$1,935 Wol.

<1%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and sitting senator, leads recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote with 26-34% support, ahead of a tight pack that includes current governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) at 18-22%, Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) at 16-27%, and David Almeida (Avante) at 8-21%. High undecided and spontaneous non-response rates—often exceeding 15-70%—along with fragmented opposition coalitions and technical ties in second-round simulations keep win probabilities compressed near 50% for multiple contenders. Recent campaign activity, including sabatinas on health infrastructure, the Zona Franca economy, and labor rules, plus interior travel by all major candidates, has yet to produce decisive shifts. Late-September polling trends, turnout patterns, and any new endorsements or alliance moves ahead of the October 25 runoff could widen separation among the top contenders.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$29,639
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and sitting senator, leads recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote with 26-34% support, ahead of a tight pack that includes current governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) at 18-22%, Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) at 16-27%, and David Almeida (Avante) at 8-21%. High undecided and spontaneous non-response rates—often exceeding 15-70%—along with fragmented opposition coalitions and technical ties in second-round simulations keep win probabilities compressed near 50% for multiple contenders. Recent campaign activity, including sabatinas on health infrastructure, the Zona Franca economy, and labor rules, plus interior travel by all major candidates, has yet to produce decisive shifts. Late-September polling trends, turnout patterns, and any new endorsements or alliance moves ahead of the October 25 runoff could widen separation among the top contenders.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$29,639
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Amazonas Governor Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Omar Aziz" z 52%, za nim "Professora Maria do Carmo" z 35%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 52¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 52% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Amazonas Governor Election Winner" wygenerował $29.6K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Aug 17, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Amazonas Governor Election Winner", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Amazonas Governor Election Winner" jest "Omar Aziz" z 52%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 52% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Professora Maria do Carmo" z 35%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Amazonas Governor Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.