**In the Tocantins Senate race for the two seats up on October 4, 2026, traders see a tight contest for second place between Carlos Gaguim (União) and Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), with Eduardo Gomes (PL) widely viewed as the frontrunner for first.** Recent polling from late August shows Gomes leading in the 14–35% range across surveys, while Gaguim and Guimarães trade places or sit within a few points of each other in second, often followed by Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão. High undecided shares (frequently 30%+) and a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates keep the ordering fluid. Gaguim’s prior executive experience and Guimarães’s current federal deputy role and municipalist profile underpin their positioning, while Gomes benefits from incumbency and name recognition. The market’s pricing for second reflects this polling consensus and the absence of decisive late-breaking shifts, with separation likely hinging on final-week campaign momentum, regional turnout, or any consolidation among lower-polling contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ガギン 44.6%
アレクサンドレ・ギマランイス 40%
エドゥアルド・ゴメス 8.9%
オスバニー・ルス <1%
$33,211 Vol.
$33,211 Vol.
2026/10/04
ガギン
45%
アレクサンドレ・ギマランイス
40%
エドゥアルド・ゴメス
14%
オスバニー・ルス
1%
エリ・ボルジェス
1%
ロナウド・ディマス
1%
ヴァンデルレイ・ルクセンブルゴ
1%
パウロ・モウロン
<1%
エリオ・ロドリゲス・ボルソナロ
<1%
アポストロ・フラヴィオ・ブラガ
<1%
ファビオ・リベイロ
<1%
ニルトン・サントス
<1%
オズヴァウド教授
<1%
ガギン 44.6%
アレクサンドレ・ギマランイス 40%
エドゥアルド・ゴメス 8.9%
オスバニー・ルス <1%
$33,211 Vol.
$33,211 Vol.
2026/10/04
ガギン
$7,484 Vol.
45%
アレクサンドレ・ギマランイス
$16,168 Vol.
40%
エドゥアルド・ゴメス
$1,432 Vol.
14%
オスバニー・ルス
$447 Vol.
1%
エリ・ボルジェス
$528 Vol.
1%
ロナウド・ディマス
$385 Vol.
1%
ヴァンデルレイ・ルクセンブルゴ
$437 Vol.
1%
パウロ・モウロン
$4,488 Vol.
<1%
エリオ・ロドリゲス・ボルソナロ
$395 Vol.
<1%
アポストロ・フラヴィオ・ブラガ
$391 Vol.
<1%
ファビオ・リベイロ
$345 Vol.
<1%
ニルトン・サントス
$392 Vol.
<1%
オズヴァウド教授
$319 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**In the Tocantins Senate race for the two seats up on October 4, 2026, traders see a tight contest for second place between Carlos Gaguim (União) and Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), with Eduardo Gomes (PL) widely viewed as the frontrunner for first.**
Recent polling from late August shows Gomes leading in the 14–35% range across surveys, while Gaguim and Guimarães trade places or sit within a few points of each other in second, often followed by Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão. High undecided shares (frequently 30%+) and a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates keep the ordering fluid.
Gaguim’s prior executive experience and Guimarães’s current federal deputy role and municipalist profile underpin their positioning, while Gomes benefits from incumbency and name recognition. The market’s pricing for second reflects this polling consensus and the absence of decisive late-breaking shifts, with separation likely hinging on final-week campaign momentum, regional turnout, or any consolidation among lower-polling contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
音量
$33,211終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**In the Tocantins Senate race for the two seats up on October 4, 2026, traders see a tight contest for second place between Carlos Gaguim (União) and Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), with Eduardo Gomes (PL) widely viewed as the frontrunner for first.**
Recent polling from late August shows Gomes leading in the 14–35% range across surveys, while Gaguim and Guimarães trade places or sit within a few points of each other in second, often followed by Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão. High undecided shares (frequently 30%+) and a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates keep the ordering fluid.
Gaguim’s prior executive experience and Guimarães’s current federal deputy role and municipalist profile underpin their positioning, while Gomes benefits from incumbency and name recognition. The market’s pricing for second reflects this polling consensus and the absence of decisive late-breaking shifts, with separation likely hinging on final-week campaign momentum, regional turnout, or any consolidation among lower-polling contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$33,211終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**In the Tocantins Senate race for the two seats up on October 4, 2026, traders see a tight contest for second place between Carlos Gaguim (União) and Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), with Eduardo Gomes (PL) widely viewed as the frontrunner for first.** Recent polling from late August shows Gomes leading in the 14–35% range across surveys, while Gaguim and Guimarães trade places or sit within a few points of each other in second, often followed by Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão. High undecided shares (frequently 30%+) and a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates keep the ordering fluid. Gaguim’s prior executive experience and Guimarães’s current federal deputy role and municipalist profile underpin their positioning, while Gomes benefits from incumbency and name recognition. The market’s pricing for second reflects this polling consensus and the absence of decisive late-breaking shifts, with separation likely hinging on final-week campaign momentum, regional turnout, or any consolidation among lower-polling contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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