Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, first-round election due to sustained high approval ratings of 62–72% across multiple surveys and consistent polling advantages exceeding 30–50 points over nearest rivals like Joel Rodrigues (PP). His administration’s record on fiscal management, expanded full-time schooling, and regional development initiatives has bolstered voter support, reinforced by formal re-election candidacy ratification and broad coalition backing. Trader consensus reflects this entrenched position, with minimal movement from opposition candidates. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or sharp turnout shifts could theoretically alter outcomes, though current evidence shows no such catalysts within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ラファエル・フォンテレス 98.6%
エリゼウ・アギアール <1%
ジェラウド・カルヴァーリョ <1%
グスタヴォ・フェイジョ <1%
$52,755 Vol.
$52,755 Vol.

ラファエル・フォンテレス
99%

エリゼウ・アギアール
<1%

ジェラウド・カルヴァーリョ
<1%

グスタヴォ・フェイジョ
<1%

ジョエル・ロドリゲス
<1%

ロウルデス・メロ
<1%

ジスバウド教授
<1%

ジュリティ教授
<1%

ラヴェンナ・ダ・インクルザォン
<1%

サンティアゴ・ベリザリオ
<1%

ドラ・ルシア・サントス
<1%
ラファエル・フォンテレス 98.6%
エリゼウ・アギアール <1%
ジェラウド・カルヴァーリョ <1%
グスタヴォ・フェイジョ <1%
$52,755 Vol.
$52,755 Vol.

ラファエル・フォンテレス
99%

エリゼウ・アギアール
<1%

ジェラウド・カルヴァーリョ
<1%

グスタヴォ・フェイジョ
<1%

ジョエル・ロドリゲス
<1%

ロウルデス・メロ
<1%

ジスバウド教授
<1%

ジュリティ教授
<1%

ラヴェンナ・ダ・インクルザォン
<1%

サンティアゴ・ベリザリオ
<1%

ドラ・ルシア・サントス
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, first-round election due to sustained high approval ratings of 62–72% across multiple surveys and consistent polling advantages exceeding 30–50 points over nearest rivals like Joel Rodrigues (PP). His administration’s record on fiscal management, expanded full-time schooling, and regional development initiatives has bolstered voter support, reinforced by formal re-election candidacy ratification and broad coalition backing. Trader consensus reflects this entrenched position, with minimal movement from opposition candidates. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or sharp turnout shifts could theoretically alter outcomes, though current evidence shows no such catalysts within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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