Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, light northwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the warm Mediterranean Sea. Sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C further moderate overnight lows, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical minima range 22–26°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41.5% implied probability for exactly 24°C and combined 65%+ odds for 23–24°C outcomes, aligns with this consensus while assigning lower weight to cooler scenarios that would require an unexpected influx of continental air. Updated model runs and official minimum observations on September 12 will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のテルアビブの最低気温は？
9月11日のテルアビブの最低気温は？
18°C以下 96%
28℃以上 84%
24℃ 41%
25℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
18°C以下
96%
19℃
8%
20°C
14%
21°C
16%
22℃
23%
23℃
18%
24℃
41%
25℃
40%
26℃
20%
27℃
26%
28℃以上
84%
18°C以下 96%
28℃以上 84%
24℃ 41%
25℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
18°C以下
$0 Vol.
96%
19℃
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
14%
21°C
$0 Vol.
16%
22℃
$7 Vol.
23%
23℃
$0 Vol.
18%
24℃
$7 Vol.
41%
25℃
$0 Vol.
40%
26℃
$0 Vol.
20%
27℃
$0 Vol.
26%
28℃以上
$0 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, light northwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the warm Mediterranean Sea. Sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C further moderate overnight lows, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical minima range 22–26°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41.5% implied probability for exactly 24°C and combined 65%+ odds for 23–24°C outcomes, aligns with this consensus while assigning lower weight to cooler scenarios that would require an unexpected influx of continental air. Updated model runs and official minimum observations on September 12 will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$14終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, light northwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the warm Mediterranean Sea. Sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C further moderate overnight lows, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical minima range 22–26°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41.5% implied probability for exactly 24°C and combined 65%+ odds for 23–24°C outcomes, aligns with this consensus while assigning lower weight to cooler scenarios that would require an unexpected influx of continental air. Updated model runs and official minimum observations on September 12 will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$14終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, light northwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the warm Mediterranean Sea. Sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C further moderate overnight lows, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical minima range 22–26°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41.5% implied probability for exactly 24°C and combined 65%+ odds for 23–24°C outcomes, aligns with this consensus while assigning lower weight to cooler scenarios that would require an unexpected influx of continental air. Updated model runs and official minimum observations on September 12 will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問