Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's September 11 low will likely fall between 12–15°C under clear skies and light northwest winds, favoring radiational cooling overnight after a frontal passage. This setup supports the closely matched market probabilities around 12°C and higher bins, as ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to variations in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 14.6°C provide context, while the absence of significant cold advection keeps odds for sub-10°C outcomes low. Traders are weighting official NHC/NOAA-style guidance and model consensus, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded by Environment Canada stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のトロントの最低気温は？
9月11日のトロントの最低気温は？
7°C以下 53%
17°C以上 53%
9°C 39%
10℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
7°C以下
53%
8°C
19%
9°C
39%
10℃
39%
11℃
26%
12℃
32%
13℃
25%
14°C
22%
15°C
12%
16℃
39%
17°C以上
53%
7°C以下 53%
17°C以上 53%
9°C 39%
10℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
7°C以下
$0 Vol.
53%
8°C
$0 Vol.
19%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10℃
$0 Vol.
39%
11℃
$0 Vol.
26%
12℃
$0 Vol.
32%
13℃
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
12%
16℃
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C以上
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's September 11 low will likely fall between 12–15°C under clear skies and light northwest winds, favoring radiational cooling overnight after a frontal passage. This setup supports the closely matched market probabilities around 12°C and higher bins, as ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to variations in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 14.6°C provide context, while the absence of significant cold advection keeps odds for sub-10°C outcomes low. Traders are weighting official NHC/NOAA-style guidance and model consensus, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded by Environment Canada stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's September 11 low will likely fall between 12–15°C under clear skies and light northwest winds, favoring radiational cooling overnight after a frontal passage. This setup supports the closely matched market probabilities around 12°C and higher bins, as ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to variations in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 14.6°C provide context, while the absence of significant cold advection keeps odds for sub-10°C outcomes low. Traders are weighting official NHC/NOAA-style guidance and model consensus, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded by Environment Canada stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's September 11 low will likely fall between 12–15°C under clear skies and light northwest winds, favoring radiational cooling overnight after a frontal passage. This setup supports the closely matched market probabilities around 12°C and higher bins, as ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to variations in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 14.6°C provide context, while the absence of significant cold advection keeps odds for sub-10°C outcomes low. Traders are weighting official NHC/NOAA-style guidance and model consensus, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded by Environment Canada stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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