Current forecasts from models like GFS point to overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds, supporting a minimum temperature near 10–11°C for Paris on September 10. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 8°C and 9°C because small differences in dew point depression, surface wind speeds of 1–3 m/s, and any late-hour cloud intrusions can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. These conditions align with seasonal norms for early September, when average minima hover around 12°C, though recent dry anticyclonic patterns have favored sharper nocturnal drops. Updated model runs and official observations through dawn will likely resolve the narrow gap between the leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のパリの最低気温は?
9℃ 50%
8°C 47%
7°C以下 7%
10°C <1%
7°C以下
7%
8°C
51%
9℃
34%
10°C
<1%
11℃
<1%
12℃
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃以上
<1%
9℃ 50%
8°C 47%
7°C以下 7%
10°C <1%
7°C以下
7%
8°C
51%
9℃
34%
10°C
<1%
11℃
<1%
12℃
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from models like GFS point to overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds, supporting a minimum temperature near 10–11°C for Paris on September 10. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 8°C and 9°C because small differences in dew point depression, surface wind speeds of 1–3 m/s, and any late-hour cloud intrusions can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. These conditions align with seasonal norms for early September, when average minima hover around 12°C, though recent dry anticyclonic patterns have favored sharper nocturnal drops. Updated model runs and official observations through dawn will likely resolve the narrow gap between the leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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