Elevated inflation and the July FOMC's 9-3 vote—with three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring an immediate 25 basis point hike—anchor trader expectations for three or more dissents at the September 15-16 meeting. Persistent PCE readings near 3.7% year-over-year, core measures above 3.3%, and oil prices above $100 amid Middle East supply risks sustain policy divisions, even as the labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.1-4.3%. Recent comments from Governor Waller, open to holding if upcoming data cool or hiking otherwise, underscore the data-dependent outlook ahead of the September 11 CPI release. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents align with the hawkish bloc or if fresh disinflation signals narrow the split.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月のFRB会合では何人が反対していますか?
3 31%
4人以上 29%
0 14%
1 14%
$23,959 Vol.
$23,959 Vol.
0
14%
1
14%
2
11%
3
31%
4人以上
29%
3 31%
4人以上 29%
0 14%
1 14%
$23,959 Vol.
$23,959 Vol.
0
14%
1
14%
2
11%
3
31%
4人以上
29%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation and the July FOMC's 9-3 vote—with three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring an immediate 25 basis point hike—anchor trader expectations for three or more dissents at the September 15-16 meeting. Persistent PCE readings near 3.7% year-over-year, core measures above 3.3%, and oil prices above $100 amid Middle East supply risks sustain policy divisions, even as the labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.1-4.3%. Recent comments from Governor Waller, open to holding if upcoming data cool or hiking otherwise, underscore the data-dependent outlook ahead of the September 11 CPI release. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents align with the hawkish bloc or if fresh disinflation signals narrow the split.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問