Recent FOMC divisions, highlighted by the 9-3 July hold with three hawkish dissents favoring a 25 basis point hike, underscore the competitive dynamics behind the closely bunched probabilities for one to three dissents at the October meeting. Persistent PCE inflation near 3.4-4.1 percent—well above the 2 percent target amid energy supply shocks—clashes with a stable labor market at 4.2-4.3 percent unemployment, creating uncertainty over whether the committee will hold rates at 3.50-3.75 percent or tighten. Hawkish regional presidents and governors remain vocal, while Chair Warsh’s data-dependent approach and recent communications amplify the potential for a split outcome, with incoming September data likely serving as the key swing factor for trader sentiment on dissent counts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日10月のFRB会合では何人が反対していますか？
10月のFRB会合では何人が反対していますか？
3 25%
2 22%
1 21%
4人以上 19%
新規
新規
2026/10/28
0
15%
1
21%
2
22%
3
25%
4人以上
19%
3 25%
2 22%
1 21%
4人以上 19%
新規
新規
2026/10/28
0
$320 Vol.
15%
1
$344 Vol.
21%
2
$320 Vol.
22%
3
$340 Vol.
25%
4人以上
$689 Vol.
19%
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC divisions, highlighted by the 9-3 July hold with three hawkish dissents favoring a 25 basis point hike, underscore the competitive dynamics behind the closely bunched probabilities for one to three dissents at the October meeting. Persistent PCE inflation near 3.4-4.1 percent—well above the 2 percent target amid energy supply shocks—clashes with a stable labor market at 4.2-4.3 percent unemployment, creating uncertainty over whether the committee will hold rates at 3.50-3.75 percent or tighten. Hawkish regional presidents and governors remain vocal, while Chair Warsh’s data-dependent approach and recent communications amplify the potential for a split outcome, with incoming September data likely serving as the key swing factor for trader sentiment on dissent counts.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
音量
$2,014終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC divisions, highlighted by the 9-3 July hold with three hawkish dissents favoring a 25 basis point hike, underscore the competitive dynamics behind the closely bunched probabilities for one to three dissents at the October meeting. Persistent PCE inflation near 3.4-4.1 percent—well above the 2 percent target amid energy supply shocks—clashes with a stable labor market at 4.2-4.3 percent unemployment, creating uncertainty over whether the committee will hold rates at 3.50-3.75 percent or tighten. Hawkish regional presidents and governors remain vocal, while Chair Warsh’s data-dependent approach and recent communications amplify the potential for a split outcome, with incoming September data likely serving as the key swing factor for trader sentiment on dissent counts.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$2,014終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC divisions, highlighted by the 9-3 July hold with three hawkish dissents favoring a 25 basis point hike, underscore the competitive dynamics behind the closely bunched probabilities for one to three dissents at the October meeting. Persistent PCE inflation near 3.4-4.1 percent—well above the 2 percent target amid energy supply shocks—clashes with a stable labor market at 4.2-4.3 percent unemployment, creating uncertainty over whether the committee will hold rates at 3.50-3.75 percent or tighten. Hawkish regional presidents and governors remain vocal, while Chair Warsh’s data-dependent approach and recent communications amplify the potential for a split outcome, with incoming September data likely serving as the key swing factor for trader sentiment on dissent counts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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