Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs indicate a daytime peak of 24–26°C in Moscow on September 10 under light southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and no precipitation. This places the most probable high near 25°C, consistent with market-implied odds favoring that outcome. The warmth represents an above-normal anomaly relative to the September climatological average high near 18°C, driven by persistent southerly advection and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Minor model spread around the exact maximum—coupled with potential for slight afternoon cooling or localized variations—supports secondary probabilities on 24°C and 26°C, while extremes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のモスクワの最高気温は?
25°C 77%
24℃ 19%
26℃ 7%
23℃ 1.4%
$13,008 Vol.
$13,008 Vol.
18°C以下
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
1%
24℃
19%
25°C
77%
26℃
7%
27℃
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
25°C 77%
24℃ 19%
26℃ 7%
23℃ 1.4%
$13,008 Vol.
$13,008 Vol.
18°C以下
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
1%
24℃
19%
25°C
77%
26℃
7%
27℃
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs indicate a daytime peak of 24–26°C in Moscow on September 10 under light southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and no precipitation. This places the most probable high near 25°C, consistent with market-implied odds favoring that outcome. The warmth represents an above-normal anomaly relative to the September climatological average high near 18°C, driven by persistent southerly advection and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Minor model spread around the exact maximum—coupled with potential for slight afternoon cooling or localized variations—supports secondary probabilities on 24°C and 26°C, while extremes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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