Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s Senate bid, leads the October 4 first-round contest for Espírito Santo’s executive. Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows him at 35-43% in first-round simulations, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 25-39%, with Helder Salomão (PT) and minor candidates trailing further behind. Ferraço’s consistent edge stems from approval ratings near 76%, coalition backing from the prior administration, and a fragmented opposition field. Pazolini, the former Vitória mayor, remains the clearest alternative but has not closed the gap in late-summer surveys. With the runoff scheduled for October 25 if needed, trader pricing reflects Ferraço’s structural advantages and polling momentum as voting nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日リカルド・フェラッソ 64%
ロレンゾ・パゾリーニ 37%
セルジオ・ヴィジガル <1%
アルナルジーニョ・ボルゴ <1%
$41,016 Vol.
$41,016 Vol.
2027/06/30
リカルド・フェラッソ
64%
ロレンゾ・パゾリーニ
37%
セルジオ・ヴィジガル
<1%
アルナルジーニョ・ボルゴ
<1%
エウクレリオ・サンパイオ
<1%
リカルド・フェラッソ 64%
ロレンゾ・パゾリーニ 37%
セルジオ・ヴィジガル <1%
アルナルジーニョ・ボルゴ <1%
$41,016 Vol.
$41,016 Vol.
2027/06/30
リカルド・フェラッソ
$14,596 Vol.
64%
ロレンゾ・パゾリーニ
$14,538 Vol.
37%
セルジオ・ヴィジガル
$3,569 Vol.
<1%
アルナルジーニョ・ボルゴ
$4,885 Vol.
<1%
エウクレリオ・サンパイオ
$3,428 Vol.
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s Senate bid, leads the October 4 first-round contest for Espírito Santo’s executive. Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows him at 35-43% in first-round simulations, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 25-39%, with Helder Salomão (PT) and minor candidates trailing further behind. Ferraço’s consistent edge stems from approval ratings near 76%, coalition backing from the prior administration, and a fragmented opposition field. Pazolini, the former Vitória mayor, remains the clearest alternative but has not closed the gap in late-summer surveys. With the runoff scheduled for October 25 if needed, trader pricing reflects Ferraço’s structural advantages and polling momentum as voting nears.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
音量
$41,016終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s Senate bid, leads the October 4 first-round contest for Espírito Santo’s executive. Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows him at 35-43% in first-round simulations, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 25-39%, with Helder Salomão (PT) and minor candidates trailing further behind. Ferraço’s consistent edge stems from approval ratings near 76%, coalition backing from the prior administration, and a fragmented opposition field. Pazolini, the former Vitória mayor, remains the clearest alternative but has not closed the gap in late-summer surveys. With the runoff scheduled for October 25 if needed, trader pricing reflects Ferraço’s structural advantages and polling momentum as voting nears.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$41,016終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s Senate bid, leads the October 4 first-round contest for Espírito Santo’s executive. Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows him at 35-43% in first-round simulations, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 25-39%, with Helder Salomão (PT) and minor candidates trailing further behind. Ferraço’s consistent edge stems from approval ratings near 76%, coalition backing from the prior administration, and a fragmented opposition field. Pazolini, the former Vitória mayor, remains the clearest alternative but has not closed the gap in late-summer surveys. With the runoff scheduled for October 25 if needed, trader pricing reflects Ferraço’s structural advantages and polling momentum as voting nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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