Canada’s annual inflation rate for 2026 is currently priced with the strongest trader consensus around 2.5–2.9 percent, reflecting the impact of elevated gasoline prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions that lifted headline CPI to 3.0 percent in July and 3.2 percent in May. Core measures excluding energy have stayed near 2.2 percent, while the Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25 percent amid stable underlying inflation and economic slack. Projections from the July Monetary Policy Report anticipate easing toward 2.5 percent in the second half of the year, assuming oil prices moderate, though upside risks from persistent energy costs and new U.S. tariffs remain. The August CPI release due September 14 and the October Monetary Policy Report represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2.5～2.9％ 35.3%
2.0〜2.4％ 25.1%
3.0〜3.4％ 17.5%
3.5〜3.9% 16.9%
$40,885 Vol.
$40,885 Vol.
2027/01/17
1.0%未満
1%
1.0～1.4％
5%
1.5～1.9％
4%
2.0〜2.4％
25%
2.5～2.9％
35%
3.0〜3.4％
18%
3.5〜3.9%
17%
4.0％以上
3%
2.5～2.9％ 35.3%
2.0〜2.4％ 25.1%
3.0〜3.4％ 17.5%
3.5〜3.9% 16.9%
$40,885 Vol.
$40,885 Vol.
2027/01/17
1.0%未満
$1,220 Vol.
1%
1.0～1.4％
$5,465 Vol.
5%
1.5～1.9％
$3,466 Vol.
4%
2.0〜2.4％
$2,039 Vol.
25%
2.5～2.9％
$10,135 Vol.
35%
3.0〜3.4％
$14,031 Vol.
18%
3.5〜3.9%
$3,990 Vol.
17%
4.0％以上
$539 Vol.
3%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Canada’s annual inflation rate for 2026 is currently priced with the strongest trader consensus around 2.5–2.9 percent, reflecting the impact of elevated gasoline prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions that lifted headline CPI to 3.0 percent in July and 3.2 percent in May. Core measures excluding energy have stayed near 2.2 percent, while the Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25 percent amid stable underlying inflation and economic slack. Projections from the July Monetary Policy Report anticipate easing toward 2.5 percent in the second half of the year, assuming oil prices moderate, though upside risks from persistent energy costs and new U.S. tariffs remain. The August CPI release due September 14 and the October Monetary Policy Report represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
マーケット開始日： Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
音量
$40,885終了日
2027/01/18マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Canada’s annual inflation rate for 2026 is currently priced with the strongest trader consensus around 2.5–2.9 percent, reflecting the impact of elevated gasoline prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions that lifted headline CPI to 3.0 percent in July and 3.2 percent in May. Core measures excluding energy have stayed near 2.2 percent, while the Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25 percent amid stable underlying inflation and economic slack. Projections from the July Monetary Policy Report anticipate easing toward 2.5 percent in the second half of the year, assuming oil prices moderate, though upside risks from persistent energy costs and new U.S. tariffs remain. The August CPI release due September 14 and the October Monetary Policy Report represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
音量
$40,885終了日
2027/01/18マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Canada’s annual inflation rate for 2026 is currently priced with the strongest trader consensus around 2.5–2.9 percent, reflecting the impact of elevated gasoline prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions that lifted headline CPI to 3.0 percent in July and 3.2 percent in May. Core measures excluding energy have stayed near 2.2 percent, while the Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25 percent amid stable underlying inflation and economic slack. Projections from the July Monetary Policy Report anticipate easing toward 2.5 percent in the second half of the year, assuming oil prices moderate, though upside risks from persistent energy costs and new U.S. tariffs remain. The August CPI release due September 14 and the October Monetary Policy Report represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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