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icon for 米国が新たな円干渉を発表... ?

米国が新たな円干渉を発表... ?

icon for 米国が新たな円干渉を発表... ?

米国が新たな円干渉を発表... ?

新規
2026/09/30
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年9月30日

$0 Vol.

19%

2026年12月31日

$0 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026. Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.US-Japan coordination on yen stability remains a key driver of trader sentiment following the rare joint intervention in late July that lifted the currency from 40-year lows near 164 to current levels around 153. Treasury Secretary Bessent has signaled ongoing readiness for further action against disorderly moves, while recent bilateral talks reaffirmed commitment to orderly yen dynamics amid persistent volatility. The yen's recent rally to its strongest since February reflects expectations of Bank of Japan rate hikes at the September 17-18 meeting and broader monetary tightening, reducing near-term intervention pressure. Key upcoming catalysts include any fresh yen weakness, Fed communications on rates, and official statements from Bessent or Japanese Finance Minister Katayama that could shift implied probabilities for an additional US announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.

Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.

Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.

A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.

Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026. Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
音量
$0
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 8:02 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026. Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.US-Japan coordination on yen stability remains a key driver of trader sentiment following the rare joint intervention in late July that lifted the currency from 40-year lows near 164 to current levels around 153. Treasury Secretary Bessent has signaled ongoing readiness for further action against disorderly moves, while recent bilateral talks reaffirmed commitment to orderly yen dynamics amid persistent volatility. The yen's recent rally to its strongest since February reflects expectations of Bank of Japan rate hikes at the September 17-18 meeting and broader monetary tightening, reducing near-term intervention pressure. Key upcoming catalysts include any fresh yen weakness, Fed communications on rates, and official statements from Bessent or Japanese Finance Minister Katayama that could shift implied probabilities for an additional US announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.

Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.

Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.

A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.

Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026. Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
音量
$0
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 8:02 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「米国が新たな円干渉を発表... ?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年12月31日」で42%、次いで「2026年9月30日」が19%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、42¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に42%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「米国が新たな円干渉を発表... ?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 2, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「米国が新たな円干渉を発表... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「米国が新たな円干渉を発表... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「2026年12月31日」で42%であり、市場がこの結果に42%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2026年9月30日」で19%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「米国が新たな円干渉を発表... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。