Recent polling shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro dominating first-round intentions near 39% and 35%, leaving a fragmented field for third place ahead of the October 4 vote. Renan Santos has consolidated support as the leading contender for that slot through strong digital mobilization, appeal to younger voters disillusioned with polarization, and consistent single-digit traction in multiple surveys. Augusto Cury’s late-August gains after broadcast exposure have slowed, while Ronaldo Caiado’s traditional center-right base and Romeu Zema’s narrower profile register lower shares. Traders price Santos highest for third because his momentum among key demographics and campaign spending patterns suggest greater resilience in the final weeks than rivals facing flatter trajectories.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日レナン・サントス 51%
アウグスト・クリー 32.6%
ロナウド・カイアード 12%
ロメウ・ゼマ 1.0%
$1,283,212 Vol.
$1,283,212 Vol.
2026/10/03
レナン・サントス
51%
アウグスト・クリー
33%
ロナウド・カイアード
12%
ロメウ・ゼマ
1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
<1%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナーロ
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
<1%
アルド・レベロ
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
<1%
テレザ・クリスチナ
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
<1%
パブロ・マルシャル
<1%
レナン・サントス 51%
アウグスト・クリー 32.6%
ロナウド・カイアード 12%
ロメウ・ゼマ 1.0%
$1,283,212 Vol.
$1,283,212 Vol.
2026/10/03
レナン・サントス
$355,351 Vol.
51%
アウグスト・クリー
$236,850 Vol.
33%
ロナウド・カイアード
$140,093 Vol.
12%
ロメウ・ゼマ
$65,938 Vol.
1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$80,401 Vol.
<1%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ
$56,522 Vol.
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
$16,773 Vol.
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナーロ
$15,847 Vol.
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
$23,204 Vol.
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
$20,815 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
$46,212 Vol.
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
$104,208 Vol.
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
$13,084 Vol.
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
$11,811 Vol.
<1%
アルド・レベロ
$9,865 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
$9,374 Vol.
<1%
テレザ・クリスチナ
$4,083 Vol.
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
$3,481 Vol.
<1%
パブロ・マルシャル
$69,401 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro dominating first-round intentions near 39% and 35%, leaving a fragmented field for third place ahead of the October 4 vote. Renan Santos has consolidated support as the leading contender for that slot through strong digital mobilization, appeal to younger voters disillusioned with polarization, and consistent single-digit traction in multiple surveys. Augusto Cury’s late-August gains after broadcast exposure have slowed, while Ronaldo Caiado’s traditional center-right base and Romeu Zema’s narrower profile register lower shares. Traders price Santos highest for third because his momentum among key demographics and campaign spending patterns suggest greater resilience in the final weeks than rivals facing flatter trajectories.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
音量
$1,283,212終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro dominating first-round intentions near 39% and 35%, leaving a fragmented field for third place ahead of the October 4 vote. Renan Santos has consolidated support as the leading contender for that slot through strong digital mobilization, appeal to younger voters disillusioned with polarization, and consistent single-digit traction in multiple surveys. Augusto Cury’s late-August gains after broadcast exposure have slowed, while Ronaldo Caiado’s traditional center-right base and Romeu Zema’s narrower profile register lower shares. Traders price Santos highest for third because his momentum among key demographics and campaign spending patterns suggest greater resilience in the final weeks than rivals facing flatter trajectories.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$1,283,212終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro dominating first-round intentions near 39% and 35%, leaving a fragmented field for third place ahead of the October 4 vote. Renan Santos has consolidated support as the leading contender for that slot through strong digital mobilization, appeal to younger voters disillusioned with polarization, and consistent single-digit traction in multiple surveys. Augusto Cury’s late-August gains after broadcast exposure have slowed, while Ronaldo Caiado’s traditional center-right base and Romeu Zema’s narrower profile register lower shares. Traders price Santos highest for third because his momentum among key demographics and campaign spending patterns suggest greater resilience in the final weeks than rivals facing flatter trajectories.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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