Recent polls from late September show a tight three-way contest for Alagoas's two Senate seats, with Arthur Lira (PP) leading at 41%, Marina JHC (PSDB) at 38%, and incumbent Renan Calheiros (MDB) at 35% in stimulated scenarios where voters select two names. Marina's recent gains have positioned her ahead of Renan for second place, supported by her alliance with Lira on the "Alagoas Gigante II" ticket and her husband JHC's strong gubernatorial bid. Renan, seeking a fifth term, maintains a base but trails amid the Lira-JHC coalition's momentum. Lower-polling candidates like Davi Davino Filho remain distant. With the October 4 election approaching, late shifts in turnout or undecided voters (around 6-12% in surveys) could alter second-place ordering among the top three.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マリナ・JHC 38%
レナン 30%
アルトゥール・リラ 29%
ダヴィ・ダヴィーノ・フィーリョ 1.8%
$26,409 Vol.
$26,409 Vol.
2027/06/30
マリナ・JHC
38%
レナン
30%
アルトゥール・リラ
29%
ダヴィ・ダヴィーノ・フィーリョ
2%
ワンダレイ博士
1%
アレクサンドレ・フレミング
<1%
マリエジソン
<1%
マリナ・JHC 38%
レナン 30%
アルトゥール・リラ 29%
ダヴィ・ダヴィーノ・フィーリョ 1.8%
$26,409 Vol.
$26,409 Vol.
2027/06/30
マリナ・JHC
$5,818 Vol.
38%
レナン
$9,711 Vol.
30%
アルトゥール・リラ
$6,442 Vol.
29%
ダヴィ・ダヴィーノ・フィーリョ
$1,326 Vol.
2%
ワンダレイ博士
$1,634 Vol.
1%
アレクサンドレ・フレミング
$716 Vol.
<1%
マリエジソン
$763 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late September show a tight three-way contest for Alagoas's two Senate seats, with Arthur Lira (PP) leading at 41%, Marina JHC (PSDB) at 38%, and incumbent Renan Calheiros (MDB) at 35% in stimulated scenarios where voters select two names. Marina's recent gains have positioned her ahead of Renan for second place, supported by her alliance with Lira on the "Alagoas Gigante II" ticket and her husband JHC's strong gubernatorial bid. Renan, seeking a fifth term, maintains a base but trails amid the Lira-JHC coalition's momentum. Lower-polling candidates like Davi Davino Filho remain distant. With the October 4 election approaching, late shifts in turnout or undecided voters (around 6-12% in surveys) could alter second-place ordering among the top three.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
音量
$26,409終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late September show a tight three-way contest for Alagoas's two Senate seats, with Arthur Lira (PP) leading at 41%, Marina JHC (PSDB) at 38%, and incumbent Renan Calheiros (MDB) at 35% in stimulated scenarios where voters select two names. Marina's recent gains have positioned her ahead of Renan for second place, supported by her alliance with Lira on the "Alagoas Gigante II" ticket and her husband JHC's strong gubernatorial bid. Renan, seeking a fifth term, maintains a base but trails amid the Lira-JHC coalition's momentum. Lower-polling candidates like Davi Davino Filho remain distant. With the October 4 election approaching, late shifts in turnout or undecided voters (around 6-12% in surveys) could alter second-place ordering among the top three.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$26,409終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from late September show a tight three-way contest for Alagoas's two Senate seats, with Arthur Lira (PP) leading at 41%, Marina JHC (PSDB) at 38%, and incumbent Renan Calheiros (MDB) at 35% in stimulated scenarios where voters select two names. Marina's recent gains have positioned her ahead of Renan for second place, supported by her alliance with Lira on the "Alagoas Gigante II" ticket and her husband JHC's strong gubernatorial bid. Renan, seeking a fifth term, maintains a base but trails amid the Lira-JHC coalition's momentum. Lower-polling candidates like Davi Davino Filho remain distant. With the October 4 election approaching, late shifts in turnout or undecided voters (around 6-12% in surveys) could alter second-place ordering among the top three.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問