Recent polling from institutes such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Alan Rick (Republicanos) leading first-round vote intentions at 33-41%, ahead of incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) at 24-26% and Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15-18%, with high undecided shares around 17% and 40% of voters open to switching. Mailza Assis assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Gladson Cameli’s resignation and maintains approval ratings above 60%, providing an incumbency base that supports her second-place market position. Official candidacies were confirmed in July-August conventions, and early September campaign events have centered on health services and local demands. These factors, combined with the October 4 first-round date and runoff scenarios, sustain tight implied probabilities by leaving room for shifts among undecided voters or late campaign developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アラン・リック 57%
マイザ・アシス 43%
ティアォン・ボカロン <1%
ルイジーニョ博士 <1%
$37,177 Vol.
$37,177 Vol.
2026/10/04
アラン・リック
57%
マイザ・アシス
43%
ティアォン・ボカロン
<1%
ルイジーニョ博士
<1%
ユード・ラファエル
<1%
トール・ダンタス
<1%
アラン・リック 57%
マイザ・アシス 43%
ティアォン・ボカロン <1%
ルイジーニョ博士 <1%
$37,177 Vol.
$37,177 Vol.
2026/10/04
アラン・リック
$19,834 Vol.
57%
マイザ・アシス
$15,102 Vol.
43%
ティアォン・ボカロン
$402 Vol.
<1%
ルイジーニョ博士
$602 Vol.
<1%
ユード・ラファエル
$767 Vol.
<1%
トール・ダンタス
$470 Vol.
<1%
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Alan Rick (Republicanos) leading first-round vote intentions at 33-41%, ahead of incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) at 24-26% and Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15-18%, with high undecided shares around 17% and 40% of voters open to switching. Mailza Assis assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Gladson Cameli’s resignation and maintains approval ratings above 60%, providing an incumbency base that supports her second-place market position. Official candidacies were confirmed in July-August conventions, and early September campaign events have centered on health services and local demands. These factors, combined with the October 4 first-round date and runoff scenarios, sustain tight implied probabilities by leaving room for shifts among undecided voters or late campaign developments.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
音量
$37,177終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Alan Rick (Republicanos) leading first-round vote intentions at 33-41%, ahead of incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) at 24-26% and Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15-18%, with high undecided shares around 17% and 40% of voters open to switching. Mailza Assis assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Gladson Cameli’s resignation and maintains approval ratings above 60%, providing an incumbency base that supports her second-place market position. Official candidacies were confirmed in July-August conventions, and early September campaign events have centered on health services and local demands. These factors, combined with the October 4 first-round date and runoff scenarios, sustain tight implied probabilities by leaving room for shifts among undecided voters or late campaign developments.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$37,177終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Alan Rick (Republicanos) leading first-round vote intentions at 33-41%, ahead of incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) at 24-26% and Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15-18%, with high undecided shares around 17% and 40% of voters open to switching. Mailza Assis assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Gladson Cameli’s resignation and maintains approval ratings above 60%, providing an incumbency base that supports her second-place market position. Official candidacies were confirmed in July-August conventions, and early September campaign events have centered on health services and local demands. These factors, combined with the October 4 first-round date and runoff scenarios, sustain tight implied probabilities by leaving room for shifts among undecided voters or late campaign developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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