Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and sitting senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round gubernatorial vote, though second place remains in technical deadlock among Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). High undecided shares—often exceeding 40% in spontaneous surveys—combined with vote fragmentation among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities in the market. Aziz’s campaign has emphasized economic zoning, technical assistance for producers, and expanded technical education including artificial intelligence programs. With the first-round ballot approaching and a possible runoff on October 25, shifts among undecided voters or late endorsements could alter the current ordering before official results finalize the winner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オマール・アジズ 55%
プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ 27%
ロベルト・シダーデ 15.9%
ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス 1.0%
$25,507 Vol.
$25,507 Vol.
2026/10/04
オマール・アジズ
55%
プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ
29%
ロベルト・シダーデ
16%
ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス
1%
カボ・ダシオロ
<1%
ダビデ・アルメイダ
<1%
イサエル・ムンドゥルク
<1%
オマール・アジズ 55%
プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ 27%
ロベルト・シダーデ 15.9%
ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス 1.0%
$25,507 Vol.
$25,507 Vol.
2026/10/04
オマール・アジズ
$8,877 Vol.
55%
プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ
$5,371 Vol.
29%
ロベルト・シダーデ
$4,178 Vol.
16%
ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス
$1,851 Vol.
1%
カボ・ダシオロ
$1,543 Vol.
<1%
ダビデ・アルメイダ
$1,911 Vol.
<1%
イサエル・ムンドゥルク
$1,776 Vol.
<1%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and sitting senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round gubernatorial vote, though second place remains in technical deadlock among Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). High undecided shares—often exceeding 40% in spontaneous surveys—combined with vote fragmentation among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities in the market. Aziz’s campaign has emphasized economic zoning, technical assistance for producers, and expanded technical education including artificial intelligence programs. With the first-round ballot approaching and a possible runoff on October 25, shifts among undecided voters or late endorsements could alter the current ordering before official results finalize the winner.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
音量
$25,507終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and sitting senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round gubernatorial vote, though second place remains in technical deadlock among Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). High undecided shares—often exceeding 40% in spontaneous surveys—combined with vote fragmentation among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities in the market. Aziz’s campaign has emphasized economic zoning, technical assistance for producers, and expanded technical education including artificial intelligence programs. With the first-round ballot approaching and a possible runoff on October 25, shifts among undecided voters or late endorsements could alter the current ordering before official results finalize the winner.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$25,507終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and sitting senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round gubernatorial vote, though second place remains in technical deadlock among Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). High undecided shares—often exceeding 40% in spontaneous surveys—combined with vote fragmentation among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities in the market. Aziz’s campaign has emphasized economic zoning, technical assistance for producers, and expanded technical education including artificial intelligence programs. With the first-round ballot approaching and a possible runoff on October 25, shifts among undecided voters or late endorsements could alter the current ordering before official results finalize the winner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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