Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Acre’s first-round presidential voting on October 4, reflecting sustained regional polling leads of roughly 20 points or more over the nearest competitors. Multiple state-level surveys from mid-2026 onward show the Liberal Party senator capturing 42-51% of intentions in the Amazonian state, supported by strong conservative voter alignment, high rejection rates for incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and limited inroads by other registered candidates. National dynamics, including the Liberal Party convention and endorsements within Bolsonarismo, have reinforced this local advantage without notable erosion in recent months. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include sharp last-minute turnout shifts, unforeseen legal or health developments affecting major candidates, or a rapid national swing in voter sentiment that reaches Acre before ballots close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 97.8%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ <1%
クラリアナ・バラオ <1%
エドミルソン・コスタ <1%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
98%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
1%
クラリアナ・バラオ
1%
エドミルソン・コスタ
1%
ルラ
1%
パブロ・マルサウ
1%
ロナウド・カイアド
1%
レナン・サントス
<1%
サマラ
<1%
ベテリナリオ・ウィルソン・グラッシ
<1%
ゼマ
<1%
エスクリトール・アウグスト・クリー
<1%
ヘルツ・ディアス
<1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 97.8%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ <1%
クラリアナ・バラオ <1%
エドミルソン・コスタ <1%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$5,032 Vol.
98%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
$312 Vol.
1%
クラリアナ・バラオ
$312 Vol.
1%
エドミルソン・コスタ
$374 Vol.
1%
ルラ
$329 Vol.
1%
パブロ・マルサウ
$369 Vol.
1%
ロナウド・カイアド
$332 Vol.
1%
レナン・サントス
$312 Vol.
<1%
サマラ
$439 Vol.
<1%
ベテリナリオ・ウィルソン・グラッシ
$367 Vol.
<1%
ゼマ
$376 Vol.
<1%
エスクリトール・アウグスト・クリー
$401 Vol.
<1%
ヘルツ・ディアス
$407 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Acre’s first-round presidential voting on October 4, reflecting sustained regional polling leads of roughly 20 points or more over the nearest competitors. Multiple state-level surveys from mid-2026 onward show the Liberal Party senator capturing 42-51% of intentions in the Amazonian state, supported by strong conservative voter alignment, high rejection rates for incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and limited inroads by other registered candidates. National dynamics, including the Liberal Party convention and endorsements within Bolsonarismo, have reinforced this local advantage without notable erosion in recent months. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include sharp last-minute turnout shifts, unforeseen legal or health developments affecting major candidates, or a rapid national swing in voter sentiment that reaches Acre before ballots close.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
音量
$9,359終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Acre’s first-round presidential voting on October 4, reflecting sustained regional polling leads of roughly 20 points or more over the nearest competitors. Multiple state-level surveys from mid-2026 onward show the Liberal Party senator capturing 42-51% of intentions in the Amazonian state, supported by strong conservative voter alignment, high rejection rates for incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and limited inroads by other registered candidates. National dynamics, including the Liberal Party convention and endorsements within Bolsonarismo, have reinforced this local advantage without notable erosion in recent months. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include sharp last-minute turnout shifts, unforeseen legal or health developments affecting major candidates, or a rapid national swing in voter sentiment that reaches Acre before ballots close.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$9,359終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Acre’s first-round presidential voting on October 4, reflecting sustained regional polling leads of roughly 20 points or more over the nearest competitors. Multiple state-level surveys from mid-2026 onward show the Liberal Party senator capturing 42-51% of intentions in the Amazonian state, supported by strong conservative voter alignment, high rejection rates for incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and limited inroads by other registered candidates. National dynamics, including the Liberal Party convention and endorsements within Bolsonarismo, have reinforced this local advantage without notable erosion in recent months. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include sharp last-minute turnout shifts, unforeseen legal or health developments affecting major candidates, or a rapid national swing in voter sentiment that reaches Acre before ballots close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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