Incumbent Jim McGovern’s commanding position in the MA-02 House race stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index, combined with his long tenure since 1997 and absence of meaningful opposition. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 Democratic primary, while no Republican candidate filed for the general ballot. Trader consensus at 94.5% aligns with this structural advantage and the pattern of double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. A shift would require an unforeseen late development, such as a health issue, major scandal, or successful write-in campaign, none of which have materialized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
MA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$63,456 Vol.
$63,456 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
95%
Partito Repubblicano
5%
$63,456 Vol.
$63,456 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
$35,228 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$28,228 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim McGovern’s commanding position in the MA-02 House race stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index, combined with his long tenure since 1997 and absence of meaningful opposition. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 Democratic primary, while no Republican candidate filed for the general ballot. Trader consensus at 94.5% aligns with this structural advantage and the pattern of double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. A shift would require an unforeseen late development, such as a health issue, major scandal, or successful write-in campaign, none of which have materialized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$63,456Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim McGovern’s commanding position in the MA-02 House race stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index, combined with his long tenure since 1997 and absence of meaningful opposition. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 Democratic primary, while no Republican candidate filed for the general ballot. Trader consensus at 94.5% aligns with this structural advantage and the pattern of double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. A shift would require an unforeseen late development, such as a health issue, major scandal, or successful write-in campaign, none of which have materialized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,456Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim McGovern’s commanding position in the MA-02 House race stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index, combined with his long tenure since 1997 and absence of meaningful opposition. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 Democratic primary, while no Republican candidate filed for the general ballot. Trader consensus at 94.5% aligns with this structural advantage and the pattern of double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. A shift would require an unforeseen late development, such as a health issue, major scandal, or successful write-in campaign, none of which have materialized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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