Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election showed the CDU at roughly 20 percent, down sharply from its 28 percent result in 2023, placing it in a tight race with the Left Party and behind earlier expectations. Trader consensus around 35-39 seats reflects lingering assessments from periods when the CDU held a polling edge, combined with the five-percent threshold dynamics and potential for modest overperformance on election day. Key recent factors include historically low satisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD senate, the Left's surge on housing issues, AfD gains drawing from conservative voters, and national headwinds for Chancellor Merz's party after setbacks elsewhere. With final results pending, the 30-34 range remains a close alternative if turnout or late swings favor the CDU.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato30-34 34%
25-29 9.1%
40-44 6.1%
45+ 2.4%
$70,066 Vol.
$70,066 Vol.
20 set 2026
<25
1%
25-29
9%
30-34
34%
35-39
45%
40-44
6%
45+
2%
30-34 34%
25-29 9.1%
40-44 6.1%
45+ 2.4%
$70,066 Vol.
$70,066 Vol.
20 set 2026
<25
$2,440 Vol.
1%
25-29
$8,486 Vol.
9%
30-34
$10,224 Vol.
34%
35-39
$6,708 Vol.
45%
40-44
$6,739 Vol.
6%
45+
$35,468 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election showed the CDU at roughly 20 percent, down sharply from its 28 percent result in 2023, placing it in a tight race with the Left Party and behind earlier expectations. Trader consensus around 35-39 seats reflects lingering assessments from periods when the CDU held a polling edge, combined with the five-percent threshold dynamics and potential for modest overperformance on election day. Key recent factors include historically low satisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD senate, the Left's surge on housing issues, AfD gains drawing from conservative voters, and national headwinds for Chancellor Merz's party after setbacks elsewhere. With final results pending, the 30-34 range remains a close alternative if turnout or late swings favor the CDU.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Volume
$70,066Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election showed the CDU at roughly 20 percent, down sharply from its 28 percent result in 2023, placing it in a tight race with the Left Party and behind earlier expectations. Trader consensus around 35-39 seats reflects lingering assessments from periods when the CDU held a polling edge, combined with the five-percent threshold dynamics and potential for modest overperformance on election day. Key recent factors include historically low satisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD senate, the Left's surge on housing issues, AfD gains drawing from conservative voters, and national headwinds for Chancellor Merz's party after setbacks elsewhere. With final results pending, the 30-34 range remains a close alternative if turnout or late swings favor the CDU.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$70,066Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election showed the CDU at roughly 20 percent, down sharply from its 28 percent result in 2023, placing it in a tight race with the Left Party and behind earlier expectations. Trader consensus around 35-39 seats reflects lingering assessments from periods when the CDU held a polling edge, combined with the five-percent threshold dynamics and potential for modest overperformance on election day. Key recent factors include historically low satisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD senate, the Left's surge on housing issues, AfD gains drawing from conservative voters, and national headwinds for Chancellor Merz's party after setbacks elsewhere. With final results pending, the 30-34 range remains a close alternative if turnout or late swings favor the CDU.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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